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Выборы·Бразилия

Победитель выборов губернатора Рио-де-Жанейро

icon for Победитель выборов губернатора Рио-де-Жанейро
Выборы·Бразилия

Победитель выборов губернатора Рио-де-Жанейро

Эдуарду Паэс 93.4%

Дуглас Руас 2.6%

Полковник Бузнелло 1.6%

Энтони Гаротиньо 1.4%

Polymarket

$290,298 Объем

Эдуарду Паэс 93.4%

Дуглас Руас 2.6%

Полковник Бузнелло 1.6%

Энтони Гаротиньо 1.4%

Polymarket

$290,298 Объем

Эдуарду Паэс

$37,819 Объем

93%

Дуглас Руас

$11,556 Объем

3%

Полковник Бузнелло

$8,435 Объем

2%

Энтони Гаротиньо

$12,205 Объем

1%

Рафа Луз

$5,230 Объем

1%

Фелипе Кури

$17,775 Объем

<1%

Фред Пачеко

$133,211 Объем

<1%

Тарсисио Мотта

$8,891 Объем

<1%

Вилсон Виццел

$10,583 Объем

<1%

Линдберг Фариас

$6,102 Объем

<1%

Андре Сесилиано

$10,694 Объем

<1%

Доктор Луизиньо

$8,451 Объем

<1%

Чико Мачадо

$7,554 Объем

<1%

Эдуардо Пазуэлло

$2,717 Объем

<1%

Никола Микконе

$5,387 Объем

<1%

Андре Португеш

$3,688 Объем

<1%

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race, driven by consistent polling dominance across first- and second-round scenarios and extensive coalition-building efforts ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. The former mayor resigned his city post in March 2026 to enter the contest, forming alliances spanning center-right and left-leaning parties for vice-governor and Senate slots while drawing support from inland regions and the Baixada Fluminense. Fragmented opposition candidates, including Douglas Ruas and Anthony Garotinho, register single-digit support in surveys, limiting their viability. Trader consensus reflects this positioning through elevated implied probability for Paes. Potential shifts could arise from major changes in public security perceptions, unexpected opposition consolidation, or late coalition realignments that alter voter preferences before election day.

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$290,298
Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race, driven by consistent polling dominance across first- and second-round scenarios and extensive coalition-building efforts ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. The former mayor resigned his city post in March 2026 to enter the contest, forming alliances spanning center-right and left-leaning parties for vice-governor and Senate slots while drawing support from inland regions and the Baixada Fluminense. Fragmented opposition candidates, including Douglas Ruas and Anthony Garotinho, register single-digit support in surveys, limiting their viability. Trader consensus reflects this positioning through elevated implied probability for Paes. Potential shifts could arise from major changes in public security perceptions, unexpected opposition consolidation, or late coalition realignments that alter voter preferences before election day.

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$290,298
Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Связанные

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Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?

62%
icon for Победит ли Хана Гассан на выборах губернатора штата Пара?

Победит ли Хана Гассан на выборах губернатора штата Пара?

48%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Лукас Рибейро выборы губернатора Параибы?

Выиграет ли Лукас Рибейро выборы губернатора Параибы?

72%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов губернатора Рио-де-Жанейро» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 16 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Эдуарду Паэс» с 93%, за ним следует «Дуглас Руас» с 3%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 93¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 93%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Победитель выборов губернатора Рио-де-Жанейро» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $290.3K с момента запуска рынка Jun 9, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов губернатора Рио-де-Жанейро», просмотри 16 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов губернатора Рио-де-Жанейро» — «Эдуарду Паэс» с 93%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 93%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Дуглас Руас» с 3%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов губернатора Рио-де-Жанейро» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.