The open gubernatorial contest in Rio de Janeiro, driven by term limits on incumbent Cláudio Castro, has produced a fragmented field of declared and prospective candidates including Eduardo Paes, Nicola Miccione, Eduardo Pazuello, Chico Machado, and others. Traders assign the highest probabilities to Paes-aligned or PL-linked figures amid ongoing coalition talks, regional outreach by Paes, and debates over security operations, fiscal management, and urban policy priorities ahead of the October 2026 vote. This early-stage dispersion, with no candidate exceeding low-20s implied odds and multiple contenders in single digits, stems from undecided party alignments, potential first-round runoffs, and shifting alliances that could consolidate support or elevate dark horses before formal nominations close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЧико Мачадо 22%
Никола Микконе 18%
Эдуардо Пазуэлло 17%
Фред Пачеко 15.3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 окт. 2026 г.
Чико Мачадо
22%
Никола Микконе
18%
Эдуардо Пазуэлло
17%
Фред Пачеко
15%
Фелипе Кури
11%
Андре Португеш
10%
Энтони Гаротиньо
7%
Тарсисио Мотта
7%
Линдберг Фариас
5%
Андре Сесилиано
5%
Вилсон Виццел
4%
Доктор Луизиньо
2%
Чико Мачадо 22%
Никола Микконе 18%
Эдуардо Пазуэлло 17%
Фред Пачеко 15.3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 окт. 2026 г.
Чико Мачадо
$243 Объем
22%
Никола Микконе
$165 Объем
18%
Эдуардо Пазуэлло
$56 Объем
17%
Фред Пачеко
$217 Объем
15%
Фелипе Кури
$1,520 Объем
11%
Андре Португеш
$192 Объем
10%
Энтони Гаротиньо
$1,100 Объем
7%
Тарсисио Мотта
$192 Объем
7%
Линдберг Фариас
$142 Объем
5%
Андре Сесилиано
$2,618 Объем
5%
Вилсон Виццел
$242 Объем
4%
Доктор Луизиньо
$2,022 Объем
2%
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The open gubernatorial contest in Rio de Janeiro, driven by term limits on incumbent Cláudio Castro, has produced a fragmented field of declared and prospective candidates including Eduardo Paes, Nicola Miccione, Eduardo Pazuello, Chico Machado, and others. Traders assign the highest probabilities to Paes-aligned or PL-linked figures amid ongoing coalition talks, regional outreach by Paes, and debates over security operations, fiscal management, and urban policy priorities ahead of the October 2026 vote. This early-stage dispersion, with no candidate exceeding low-20s implied odds and multiple contenders in single digits, stems from undecided party alignments, potential first-round runoffs, and shifting alliances that could consolidate support or elevate dark horses before formal nominations close.
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
Объем
$8,707Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The open gubernatorial contest in Rio de Janeiro, driven by term limits on incumbent Cláudio Castro, has produced a fragmented field of declared and prospective candidates including Eduardo Paes, Nicola Miccione, Eduardo Pazuello, Chico Machado, and others. Traders assign the highest probabilities to Paes-aligned or PL-linked figures amid ongoing coalition talks, regional outreach by Paes, and debates over security operations, fiscal management, and urban policy priorities ahead of the October 2026 vote. This early-stage dispersion, with no candidate exceeding low-20s implied odds and multiple contenders in single digits, stems from undecided party alignments, potential first-round runoffs, and shifting alliances that could consolidate support or elevate dark horses before formal nominations close.
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$8,707Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The open gubernatorial contest in Rio de Janeiro, driven by term limits on incumbent Cláudio Castro, has produced a fragmented field of declared and prospective candidates including Eduardo Paes, Nicola Miccione, Eduardo Pazuello, Chico Machado, and others. Traders assign the highest probabilities to Paes-aligned or PL-linked figures amid ongoing coalition talks, regional outreach by Paes, and debates over security operations, fiscal management, and urban policy priorities ahead of the October 2026 vote. This early-stage dispersion, with no candidate exceeding low-20s implied odds and multiple contenders in single digits, stems from undecided party alignments, potential first-round runoffs, and shifting alliances that could consolidate support or elevate dark horses before formal nominations close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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