Early in the 2026 Maranhão gubernatorial race, with the October 4 first-round vote still months away and party conventions scheduled for July-August, trader odds reflect an open field among multiple pre-candidates. Eduardo Braide (PSD), the São Luís mayor, holds the highest implied probability at 44.5% after formalizing his bid and leading recent AtlasIntel and Quaest polling by wide margins in first-round and runoff scenarios. Orleans Brandão (MDB) follows at 36%, benefiting from ties to the outgoing administration amid a fragmented left that includes Lahesio Bonfim (Novo) at 10.5% and Felipe Camarão (PT) at 9%. The spread across additional names and "other" keeps the contest competitive, with potential shifts tied to alliance formation, candidate consolidation, or late polling movements before ballots close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЭдуардо Брайде 45%
Орлеан Брандан 35%
Лахесиу Бонфин 12%
Фелипе Камарао 9%
Эдуардо Брайде
45%
Орлеан Брандан
35%
Лахесиу Бонфин
12%
Фелипе Камарао
9%
Эннилтон Родригес
5%
Андре Луис
4%
Эдуардо Брайде 45%
Орлеан Брандан 35%
Лахесиу Бонфин 12%
Фелипе Камарао 9%
Эдуардо Брайде
45%
Орлеан Брандан
35%
Лахесиу Бонфин
12%
Фелипе Камарао
9%
Эннилтон Родригес
5%
Андре Луис
4%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Early in the 2026 Maranhão gubernatorial race, with the October 4 first-round vote still months away and party conventions scheduled for July-August, trader odds reflect an open field among multiple pre-candidates. Eduardo Braide (PSD), the São Luís mayor, holds the highest implied probability at 44.5% after formalizing his bid and leading recent AtlasIntel and Quaest polling by wide margins in first-round and runoff scenarios. Orleans Brandão (MDB) follows at 36%, benefiting from ties to the outgoing administration amid a fragmented left that includes Lahesio Bonfim (Novo) at 10.5% and Felipe Camarão (PT) at 9%. The spread across additional names and "other" keeps the contest competitive, with potential shifts tied to alliance formation, candidate consolidation, or late polling movements before ballots close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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