PL leads trader consensus for the most seats in Brazil’s October 2026 Senate election, which renews 54 of 81 seats through first-past-the-post contests in each state and federal district. The party’s position stems from aggressive candidate recruitment, competitive polling in key states such as São Paulo and Rio Grande do Sul, and alignment with Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential campaign. MDB remains the clearest alternative in several contests where centrist incumbents or coalitions retain local strength. Smaller parties trail because of narrower geographic bases and limited momentum ahead of the vote. No major late shifts have altered this ordering in recent weeks, though outcomes hinge on state-level turnout and alliances.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСледующие выборы в Сенат Бразилии: большинство мест выиграно
Следующие выборы в Сенат Бразилии: большинство мест выиграно
Либеральная партия (PL) 77%
MDB 15.4%
UNIÃO 1.0%
PSD <1%
$293,498 Объем
$293,498 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Либеральная партия (PL)
77%
MDB
15%
UNIÃO
1%
PSD
1%
ПТ
1%
REPUBLICANOS
<1%
PP
<1%
PSDB
<1%
NOVO
<1%
ПСБ
<1%
ПОДЕМОС
<1%
PDT
<1%
Либеральная партия (PL) 77%
MDB 15.4%
UNIÃO 1.0%
PSD <1%
$293,498 Объем
$293,498 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Либеральная партия (PL)
$258,914 Объем
77%
MDB
$8,150 Объем
15%
UNIÃO
$2,883 Объем
1%
PSD
$2,658 Объем
1%
ПТ
$2,953 Объем
1%
REPUBLICANOS
$3,355 Объем
<1%
PP
$2,465 Объем
<1%
PSDB
$2,442 Объем
<1%
NOVO
$2,708 Объем
<1%
ПСБ
$2,304 Объем
<1%
ПОДЕМОС
$2,615 Объем
<1%
PDT
$2,052 Объем
<1%
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).PL leads trader consensus for the most seats in Brazil’s October 2026 Senate election, which renews 54 of 81 seats through first-past-the-post contests in each state and federal district. The party’s position stems from aggressive candidate recruitment, competitive polling in key states such as São Paulo and Rio Grande do Sul, and alignment with Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential campaign. MDB remains the clearest alternative in several contests where centrist incumbents or coalitions retain local strength. Smaller parties trail because of narrower geographic bases and limited momentum ahead of the vote. No major late shifts have altered this ordering in recent weeks, though outcomes hinge on state-level turnout and alliances.
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Объем
$293,498Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).PL leads trader consensus for the most seats in Brazil’s October 2026 Senate election, which renews 54 of 81 seats through first-past-the-post contests in each state and federal district. The party’s position stems from aggressive candidate recruitment, competitive polling in key states such as São Paulo and Rio Grande do Sul, and alignment with Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential campaign. MDB remains the clearest alternative in several contests where centrist incumbents or coalitions retain local strength. Smaller parties trail because of narrower geographic bases and limited momentum ahead of the vote. No major late shifts have altered this ordering in recent weeks, though outcomes hinge on state-level turnout and alliances.
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$293,498Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...PL leads trader consensus for the most seats in Brazil’s October 2026 Senate election, which renews 54 of 81 seats through first-past-the-post contests in each state and federal district. The party’s position stems from aggressive candidate recruitment, competitive polling in key states such as São Paulo and Rio Grande do Sul, and alignment with Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential campaign. MDB remains the clearest alternative in several contests where centrist incumbents or coalitions retain local strength. Smaller parties trail because of narrower geographic bases and limited momentum ahead of the vote. No major late shifts have altered this ordering in recent weeks, though outcomes hinge on state-level turnout and alliances.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Получит ли Либеральная партия (PL) наибольшее количество мест по результатам следующих выборов в Сенат Бразилии?
87%
Да
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?
73%
Выиграет ли Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva президентские выборы в Бразилии 2026 года?
64%
Да
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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