PL leads trader consensus for the most Senate seats after Brazil’s October 4, 2026, vote for 54 of 81 total seats, reflecting its current 16-seat bloc plus expected gains from right-wing consolidation behind the Liberal Party (PL) and presidential candidate Flávio Bolsonaro. The party’s position draws strength from opposition momentum against the Lula administration, competitive candidates in key states, and alliances with other center-right groups. MDB, PSD, and smaller parties trail due to more fragmented support and fewer projected wins in the staggered renewal. Recent presidential polling, including tight Lula–Flávio matchups, has sustained PL’s legislative visibility without major new scandals or shifts altering the balance in the final weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСледующие выборы в Сенат Бразилии: большинство мест
Следующие выборы в Сенат Бразилии: большинство мест
PL 86%
БДП (MDB) 5.1%
NOVO 4.2%
ПП 4.0%
$46,759 Объем
$46,759 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
PL
86%
БДП (MDB)
5%
NOVO
4%
ПП
4%
PSD
2%
UNIÃO
2%
PDT
1%
PSDB
1%
PT
<1%
РЕСПУБЛИКАНОС
<1%
PSB
<1%
PODEMOS
<1%
PL 86%
БДП (MDB) 5.1%
NOVO 4.2%
ПП 4.0%
$46,759 Объем
$46,759 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
PL
$30,009 Объем
86%
БДП (MDB)
$1,338 Объем
5%
NOVO
$993 Объем
4%
ПП
$1,660 Объем
4%
PSD
$1,272 Объем
2%
UNIÃO
$1,007 Объем
2%
PDT
$4,768 Объем
1%
PSDB
$1,165 Объем
1%
PT
$1,176 Объем
<1%
РЕСПУБЛИКАНОС
$927 Объем
<1%
PSB
$1,079 Объем
<1%
PODEMOS
$1,365 Объем
<1%
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election.
All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).PL leads trader consensus for the most Senate seats after Brazil’s October 4, 2026, vote for 54 of 81 total seats, reflecting its current 16-seat bloc plus expected gains from right-wing consolidation behind the Liberal Party (PL) and presidential candidate Flávio Bolsonaro. The party’s position draws strength from opposition momentum against the Lula administration, competitive candidates in key states, and alliances with other center-right groups. MDB, PSD, and smaller parties trail due to more fragmented support and fewer projected wins in the staggered renewal. Recent presidential polling, including tight Lula–Flávio matchups, has sustained PL’s legislative visibility without major new scandals or shifts altering the balance in the final weeks.
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election.
All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).
This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election.
All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).
Открытие рынка: Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Объем
$46,759Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election.
All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).PL leads trader consensus for the most Senate seats after Brazil’s October 4, 2026, vote for 54 of 81 total seats, reflecting its current 16-seat bloc plus expected gains from right-wing consolidation behind the Liberal Party (PL) and presidential candidate Flávio Bolsonaro. The party’s position draws strength from opposition momentum against the Lula administration, competitive candidates in key states, and alliances with other center-right groups. MDB, PSD, and smaller parties trail due to more fragmented support and fewer projected wins in the staggered renewal. Recent presidential polling, including tight Lula–Flávio matchups, has sustained PL’s legislative visibility without major new scandals or shifts altering the balance in the final weeks.
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election.
All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).
This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election.
All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).
Объем
$46,759Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...PL leads trader consensus for the most Senate seats after Brazil’s October 4, 2026, vote for 54 of 81 total seats, reflecting its current 16-seat bloc plus expected gains from right-wing consolidation behind the Liberal Party (PL) and presidential candidate Flávio Bolsonaro. The party’s position draws strength from opposition momentum against the Lula administration, competitive candidates in key states, and alliances with other center-right groups. MDB, PSD, and smaller parties trail due to more fragmented support and fewer projected wins in the staggered renewal. Recent presidential polling, including tight Lula–Flávio matchups, has sustained PL’s legislative visibility without major new scandals or shifts altering the balance in the final weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Выиграет ли Либеральная партия (PL) наибольшее количество мест на следующих выборах в бразильский Сенат?
78%
Да
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?
64%
Займёт ли Флавио Болсонару второе место в первом туре президентских выборов в Бразилии 2026 года?
84%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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