AfD maintains a commanding lead in recent Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state polls, driving trader consensus toward an 86 percent probability that the party secures the most seats in the September 20, 2026, Landtag election. Surveys conducted by Forsa in February and Infratest dimap in January place AfD support between 35 and 37 percent, roughly ten points ahead of the governing SPD at 23 to 25 percent. This margin reflects sustained voter shifts in eastern Germany, where AfD has consolidated support on issues including immigration and economic concerns while the SPD-led coalition with the Left Party has seen erosion. Smaller parties such as the CDU, Linke, and BSW register between 10 and 13 percent, far below thresholds needed to challenge for first place. The implied probability in the market tracks these consistent polling trends without assigning certainty to coalition outcomes or final turnout.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель парламентских выборов в Мекленбурге-Передней Померании
Победитель парламентских выборов в Мекленбурге-Передней Померании
АдГ 86%
СДПГ 14%
СвДП <1%
ХДС <1%
$219,938 Объем
$219,938 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
АдГ
86%
СДПГ
14%
СвДП
<1%
ХДС
<1%
Зелёные
<1%
BSW
<1%
Левая партия
<1%
FW
<1%
АдГ 86%
СДПГ 14%
СвДП <1%
ХДС <1%
$219,938 Объем
$219,938 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
АдГ
$7,942 Объем
86%
СДПГ
$37,071 Объем
14%
СвДП
$50,818 Объем
<1%
ХДС
$28,594 Объем
<1%
Зелёные
$53,394 Объем
<1%
BSW
$12,545 Объем
<1%
Левая партия
$9,060 Объем
<1%
FW
$20,514 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD maintains a commanding lead in recent Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state polls, driving trader consensus toward an 86 percent probability that the party secures the most seats in the September 20, 2026, Landtag election. Surveys conducted by Forsa in February and Infratest dimap in January place AfD support between 35 and 37 percent, roughly ten points ahead of the governing SPD at 23 to 25 percent. This margin reflects sustained voter shifts in eastern Germany, where AfD has consolidated support on issues including immigration and economic concerns while the SPD-led coalition with the Left Party has seen erosion. Smaller parties such as the CDU, Linke, and BSW register between 10 and 13 percent, far below thresholds needed to challenge for first place. The implied probability in the market tracks these consistent polling trends without assigning certainty to coalition outcomes or final turnout.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Открытие рынка: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Объем
$219,938Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD maintains a commanding lead in recent Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state polls, driving trader consensus toward an 86 percent probability that the party secures the most seats in the September 20, 2026, Landtag election. Surveys conducted by Forsa in February and Infratest dimap in January place AfD support between 35 and 37 percent, roughly ten points ahead of the governing SPD at 23 to 25 percent. This margin reflects sustained voter shifts in eastern Germany, where AfD has consolidated support on issues including immigration and economic concerns while the SPD-led coalition with the Left Party has seen erosion. Smaller parties such as the CDU, Linke, and BSW register between 10 and 13 percent, far below thresholds needed to challenge for first place. The implied probability in the market tracks these consistent polling trends without assigning certainty to coalition outcomes or final turnout.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Объем
$219,938Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...AfD maintains a commanding lead in recent Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state polls, driving trader consensus toward an 86 percent probability that the party secures the most seats in the September 20, 2026, Landtag election. Surveys conducted by Forsa in February and Infratest dimap in January place AfD support between 35 and 37 percent, roughly ten points ahead of the governing SPD at 23 to 25 percent. This margin reflects sustained voter shifts in eastern Germany, where AfD has consolidated support on issues including immigration and economic concerns while the SPD-led coalition with the Left Party has seen erosion. Smaller parties such as the CDU, Linke, and BSW register between 10 and 13 percent, far below thresholds needed to challenge for first place. The implied probability in the market tracks these consistent polling trends without assigning certainty to coalition outcomes or final turnout.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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