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Политика·Аргентина

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

icon for Argentina Presidential Election Winner
Политика·Аргентина

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Javier Milei 50%

Axel Kicillof 33%

Dante Gebel 5.1%

Sergio Massa 3.3%

Polymarket

$67,748 Объем

Javier Milei 50%

Axel Kicillof 33%

Dante Gebel 5.1%

Sergio Massa 3.3%

Polymarket

$67,748 Объем

icon for Javier Milei

Javier Milei

$27,683 Объем

50%

icon for Axel Kicillof

Axel Kicillof

$4,494 Объем

33%

icon for Dante Gebel

Dante Gebel

$5,031 Объем

5%

icon for Sergio Massa

Sergio Massa

$3,475 Объем

3%

icon for Myriam Bregman

Myriam Bregman

$4,969 Объем

3%

icon for Juan Grabois

Juan Grabois

$3,934 Объем

3%

icon for Mauricio Macri

Mauricio Macri

$5,203 Объем

2%

icon for Juan Schiaretti

Juan Schiaretti

$3,818 Объем

1%

icon for Victoria Villarruel

Victoria Villarruel

$3,310 Объем

1%

icon for Facundo Manes

Facundo Manes

$3,183 Объем

<1%

icon for Esteban Bullrich

Esteban Bullrich

$2,648 Объем

<1%

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).Javier Milei leads trader consensus as the incumbent president advancing fiscal austerity measures and inflation-reduction policies that have sustained core support in key voting blocs. Axel Kicillof follows as the main opposition contender, drawing strength from Peronist-aligned provincial networks and labor sectors amid ongoing economic adjustment debates. Lower probabilities for figures such as Dante Gebel, Sergio Massa, and Juan Grabois reflect limited primary momentum and narrower coalition pathways. Recent legislative sessions and macroeconomic data releases continue to shape positioning, with potential shifts tied to confirmation of reform outcomes and voter turnout trends ahead of the 2027 contest.

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Объем
$67,748
Дата окончания
24 окт. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).Javier Milei leads trader consensus as the incumbent president advancing fiscal austerity measures and inflation-reduction policies that have sustained core support in key voting blocs. Axel Kicillof follows as the main opposition contender, drawing strength from Peronist-aligned provincial networks and labor sectors amid ongoing economic adjustment debates. Lower probabilities for figures such as Dante Gebel, Sergio Massa, and Juan Grabois reflect limited primary momentum and narrower coalition pathways. Recent legislative sessions and macroeconomic data releases continue to shape positioning, with potential shifts tied to confirmation of reform outcomes and voter turnout trends ahead of the 2027 contest.

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Объем
$67,748
Дата окончания
24 окт. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Argentina Presidential Election Winner» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Javier Milei» с 50%, за ним следует «Axel Kicillof» с 33%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 50¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 50%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Argentina Presidential Election Winner» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $67.7K с момента запуска рынка May 1, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Argentina Presidential Election Winner», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Argentina Presidential Election Winner» — «Javier Milei» с 50%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 50%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Axel Kicillof» с 33%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Argentina Presidential Election Winner» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.