Milei’s decisive gains in Argentina’s October 2025 midterm elections strengthened his La Libertad Avanza coalition’s congressional position, securing veto power and a larger legislative buffer that has limited opposition capacity to advance impeachment proceedings. Argentina’s constitutional requirements for removal remain high, and no formal motions or resignation signals have emerged amid ongoing austerity measures and reform efforts. This political consolidation, paired with the absence of acute institutional crises through early 2026, underpins traders’ 95.7 percent implied probability that Milei completes his term. Only an unforeseen development—such as a severe health event, major corruption scandal, or sudden collapse in economic indicators—could realistically shift the outlook before December 2026.