**Trader sentiment in the Argentina official USD exchange rate market for end-2026 heavily favors outcomes above 1,600 ARS per USD (60% implied probability), reflecting the prevailing crawling-peg or inflation-indexed band regime under the Milei administration.** As of mid-September 2026, the wholesale rate trades near 1,507 ARS, up modestly year-to-date amid a stabilization program that has delivered primary fiscal surpluses, reserve accumulation exceeding daily targets, and disinflation from triple-digit levels. The exchange-rate band expands with lagged inflation, supporting gradual depreciation consistent with 2026 inflation running in the high 20s to low 30s percent range; forward markets and consensus forecasts point to roughly 1,600 ARS by year-end. Recent submission of the 2027 budget—projecting 18% inflation and 4% GDP growth—reinforces expectations of policy continuity without abrupt devaluation, while strong commodity prices and mining investment inflows help anchor reserves. Key near-term catalysts include monthly inflation prints and central bank reserve data, which will shape whether the pace of weakening accelerates or moderates within the band.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоАргентина Официальный курс доллара США на конец 2026 года?
Аргентина Официальный курс доллара США на конец 2026 года?
1600,00+ 60%
1500,00–1549,99 16.6%
1550,00–1599,99 16.5%
1350,00–1399,99 5.3%
$10,149 Объем
$10,149 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
<1250,00
3%
1250,00–1299,99
5%
1300,00–1349,99
5%
1350,00–1399,99
5%
1400,00–1449,99
5%
1450.00–1499.99
5%
1500,00–1549,99
12%
1550,00–1599,99
16%
1600,00+
60%
1600,00+ 60%
1500,00–1549,99 16.6%
1550,00–1599,99 16.5%
1350,00–1399,99 5.3%
$10,149 Объем
$10,149 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
<1250,00
$544 Объем
3%
1250,00–1299,99
$966 Объем
5%
1300,00–1349,99
$835 Объем
5%
1350,00–1399,99
$910 Объем
5%
1400,00–1449,99
$1,252 Объем
5%
1450.00–1499.99
$1,476 Объем
5%
1500,00–1549,99
$1,359 Объем
12%
1550,00–1599,99
$779 Объем
16%
1600,00+
$2,027 Объем
60%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Trader sentiment in the Argentina official USD exchange rate market for end-2026 heavily favors outcomes above 1,600 ARS per USD (60% implied probability), reflecting the prevailing crawling-peg or inflation-indexed band regime under the Milei administration.**
As of mid-September 2026, the wholesale rate trades near 1,507 ARS, up modestly year-to-date amid a stabilization program that has delivered primary fiscal surpluses, reserve accumulation exceeding daily targets, and disinflation from triple-digit levels. The exchange-rate band expands with lagged inflation, supporting gradual depreciation consistent with 2026 inflation running in the high 20s to low 30s percent range; forward markets and consensus forecasts point to roughly 1,600 ARS by year-end. Recent submission of the 2027 budget—projecting 18% inflation and 4% GDP growth—reinforces expectations of policy continuity without abrupt devaluation, while strong commodity prices and mining investment inflows help anchor reserves. Key near-term catalysts include monthly inflation prints and central bank reserve data, which will shape whether the pace of weakening accelerates or moderates within the band.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Открытие рынка: Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
Объем
$10,149Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Trader sentiment in the Argentina official USD exchange rate market for end-2026 heavily favors outcomes above 1,600 ARS per USD (60% implied probability), reflecting the prevailing crawling-peg or inflation-indexed band regime under the Milei administration.**
As of mid-September 2026, the wholesale rate trades near 1,507 ARS, up modestly year-to-date amid a stabilization program that has delivered primary fiscal surpluses, reserve accumulation exceeding daily targets, and disinflation from triple-digit levels. The exchange-rate band expands with lagged inflation, supporting gradual depreciation consistent with 2026 inflation running in the high 20s to low 30s percent range; forward markets and consensus forecasts point to roughly 1,600 ARS by year-end. Recent submission of the 2027 budget—projecting 18% inflation and 4% GDP growth—reinforces expectations of policy continuity without abrupt devaluation, while strong commodity prices and mining investment inflows help anchor reserves. Key near-term catalysts include monthly inflation prints and central bank reserve data, which will shape whether the pace of weakening accelerates or moderates within the band.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$10,149Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...**Trader sentiment in the Argentina official USD exchange rate market for end-2026 heavily favors outcomes above 1,600 ARS per USD (60% implied probability), reflecting the prevailing crawling-peg or inflation-indexed band regime under the Milei administration.** As of mid-September 2026, the wholesale rate trades near 1,507 ARS, up modestly year-to-date amid a stabilization program that has delivered primary fiscal surpluses, reserve accumulation exceeding daily targets, and disinflation from triple-digit levels. The exchange-rate band expands with lagged inflation, supporting gradual depreciation consistent with 2026 inflation running in the high 20s to low 30s percent range; forward markets and consensus forecasts point to roughly 1,600 ARS by year-end. Recent submission of the 2027 budget—projecting 18% inflation and 4% GDP growth—reinforces expectations of policy continuity without abrupt devaluation, while strong commodity prices and mining investment inflows help anchor reserves. Key near-term catalysts include monthly inflation prints and central bank reserve data, which will shape whether the pace of weakening accelerates or moderates within the band.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы