Bola Tinubu holds the strongest position in the 2027 Nigerian presidential race as the incumbent APC candidate, backed by control of 31 state governorships and a two-thirds National Assembly majority that consolidates party machinery ahead of the January 16 vote. Trader pricing reflects the structural edge this provides in a first-past-the-post system, even amid widespread economic discontent. Opposition fragmentation sustains the gap, with Peter Obi on the NDC ticket paired with Rabiu Kwankwaso, Atiku Abubakar on the ADC alongside Rotimi Amaechi, and additional candidates including Omoyele Sowore on separate platforms. Recent INEC publication of the final candidate list and ongoing regional campaigning have reinforced expectations that vote splitting will again favor the ruling party, consistent with 2023 patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБола Тинубу 68%
Питер Оби 24%
Омоелэ Соворе <1%
Рабиу Кванквасо <1%
$128,261 Объем
$128,261 Объем
Бола Тинубу
68%
Питер Оби
24%
Омоелэ Соворе
1%
Рабиу Кванквасо
<1%
Ротими Амаэчи
<1%
Бола Тинубу 68%
Питер Оби 24%
Омоелэ Соворе <1%
Рабиу Кванквасо <1%
$128,261 Объем
$128,261 Объем
Бола Тинубу
68%
Питер Оби
24%
Омоелэ Соворе
1%
Рабиу Кванквасо
<1%
Ротими Амаэчи
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
Открытие рынка: Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Bola Tinubu holds the strongest position in the 2027 Nigerian presidential race as the incumbent APC candidate, backed by control of 31 state governorships and a two-thirds National Assembly majority that consolidates party machinery ahead of the January 16 vote. Trader pricing reflects the structural edge this provides in a first-past-the-post system, even amid widespread economic discontent. Opposition fragmentation sustains the gap, with Peter Obi on the NDC ticket paired with Rabiu Kwankwaso, Atiku Abubakar on the ADC alongside Rotimi Amaechi, and additional candidates including Omoyele Sowore on separate platforms. Recent INEC publication of the final candidate list and ongoing regional campaigning have reinforced expectations that vote splitting will again favor the ruling party, consistent with 2023 patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Выиграет ли партия Всепрогрессивный конгресс (APC) наибольшее количество мест на выборах в Сенат Нигерии в 2027 году?
Выиграет ли Всенародный прогрессивный конгресс (APC) большинство мест на выборах в Палату представителей Нигерии в 2027 году?
Выиграет ли Хавьер Милей президентские выборы в Аргентине в 2027 году?
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