Ahmed Aliyu, the incumbent APC governor affirmed as the party’s 2027 consensus candidate, holds the leading position in trader assessments amid a fragmented opposition landscape. Recent primaries have produced clear contenders such as Manir Muhammad Dan Iya for the ADC, backed by former governor Aminu Waziri Tambuwal’s influence, alongside lower-profile aspirants from other parties. Defections of hundreds of APC members to the ADC in areas like Goronyo LGA, combined with ongoing security concerns and development project delivery, sustain competitive dynamics. The February 2027 vote timing and potential further realignments keep probabilities closely balanced, with outcomes hinging on party unity, voter turnout in key local government areas, and any late shifts in alliances.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоАхмед Алию 43%
Манир Мухаммад Дан Ия 26%
Мустафа Шеху 24%
Абдулрахим Чиндо 23%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 фев. 2027 г.
Ахмед Алию
43%
Манир Мухаммад Дан Ия
26%
Мустафа Шеху
24%
Абдулрахим Чиндо
23%
Ахмед Алию 43%
Манир Мухаммад Дан Ия 26%
Мустафа Шеху 24%
Абдулрахим Чиндо 23%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 фев. 2027 г.
Ахмед Алию
$0 Объем
43%
Манир Мухаммад Дан Ия
$0 Объем
26%
Мустафа Шеху
$0 Объем
24%
Абдулрахим Чиндо
$0 Объем
23%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sokoto State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Ahmed Aliyu, the incumbent APC governor affirmed as the party’s 2027 consensus candidate, holds the leading position in trader assessments amid a fragmented opposition landscape. Recent primaries have produced clear contenders such as Manir Muhammad Dan Iya for the ADC, backed by former governor Aminu Waziri Tambuwal’s influence, alongside lower-profile aspirants from other parties. Defections of hundreds of APC members to the ADC in areas like Goronyo LGA, combined with ongoing security concerns and development project delivery, sustain competitive dynamics. The February 2027 vote timing and potential further realignments keep probabilities closely balanced, with outcomes hinging on party unity, voter turnout in key local government areas, and any late shifts in alliances.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sokoto State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Открытие рынка: Aug 21, 2026, 5:08 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
6 фев. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sokoto State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Ahmed Aliyu, the incumbent APC governor affirmed as the party’s 2027 consensus candidate, holds the leading position in trader assessments amid a fragmented opposition landscape. Recent primaries have produced clear contenders such as Manir Muhammad Dan Iya for the ADC, backed by former governor Aminu Waziri Tambuwal’s influence, alongside lower-profile aspirants from other parties. Defections of hundreds of APC members to the ADC in areas like Goronyo LGA, combined with ongoing security concerns and development project delivery, sustain competitive dynamics. The February 2027 vote timing and potential further realignments keep probabilities closely balanced, with outcomes hinging on party unity, voter turnout in key local government areas, and any late shifts in alliances.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sokoto State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
6 фев. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ahmed Aliyu, the incumbent APC governor affirmed as the party’s 2027 consensus candidate, holds the leading position in trader assessments amid a fragmented opposition landscape. Recent primaries have produced clear contenders such as Manir Muhammad Dan Iya for the ADC, backed by former governor Aminu Waziri Tambuwal’s influence, alongside lower-profile aspirants from other parties. Defections of hundreds of APC members to the ADC in areas like Goronyo LGA, combined with ongoing security concerns and development project delivery, sustain competitive dynamics. The February 2027 vote timing and potential further realignments keep probabilities closely balanced, with outcomes hinging on party unity, voter turnout in key local government areas, and any late shifts in alliances.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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