Incumbent Jorginho Mello (PL) holds the lead in Santa Catarina’s October 4, 2026 gubernatorial race, reflecting his 2022 reelection margin and consistent polling advantage rooted in state economic performance and security priorities. Early 2026 surveys show him ahead of declared challengers including João Rodrigues (PSD), Décio Lima (PT), Gelson Merísio (PSB), Adriano Silva (Novo), and others, with first-round support often exceeding 40 percent and runoff simulations favoring him further. Candidate fields remain fluid ahead of party conventions and TSE registration in August, while coalition-building and vice-governor selections continue to shape alliances. The single-round format and possibility of a October 25 runoff keep dynamics open until voter turnout and late alliances clarify outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМарсело Бригадейро 67%
Маркос Виейра 67%
Адріано Силва 67%
Жельсон Мерисиу 67%
Марсело Бригадейро
67%
Маркос Виейра
67%
Адріано Силва
67%
Жельсон Мерисиу
67%
Дека Лима
67%
Жоау Родригес
67%
Афраниу Боппре
67%
Жоржиньо Мелло
57%
Марсело Бригадейро 67%
Маркос Виейра 67%
Адріано Силва 67%
Жельсон Мерисиу 67%
Марсело Бригадейро
67%
Маркос Виейра
67%
Адріано Силва
67%
Жельсон Мерисиу
67%
Дека Лима
67%
Жоау Родригес
67%
Афраниу Боппре
67%
Жоржиньо Мелло
57%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Jorginho Mello (PL) holds the lead in Santa Catarina’s October 4, 2026 gubernatorial race, reflecting his 2022 reelection margin and consistent polling advantage rooted in state economic performance and security priorities. Early 2026 surveys show him ahead of declared challengers including João Rodrigues (PSD), Décio Lima (PT), Gelson Merísio (PSB), Adriano Silva (Novo), and others, with first-round support often exceeding 40 percent and runoff simulations favoring him further. Candidate fields remain fluid ahead of party conventions and TSE registration in August, while coalition-building and vice-governor selections continue to shape alliances. The single-round format and possibility of a October 25 runoff keep dynamics open until voter turnout and late alliances clarify outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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