The tight 2026 Bahia gubernatorial race reflects a rematch between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and former Salvador mayor ACM Neto (União Brasil), with recent polls from Quaest, Genial/Quaest, and Real Time Big Data showing the pair separated by just a few points in first-round scenarios—often within the margin of error. Rodrigues’s recovered approval ratings on education and infrastructure have narrowed Neto’s earlier lead, while national political realignments, including União’s break with the Lula administration and Neto’s ties to the right-wing bloc, have mobilized competing voter bases. A recent debate highlighted shared priorities on health, security, and the environment without producing decisive shifts. Upcoming campaign milestones, endorsements from municipal leaders, or late developments in turnout and rejection rates could widen the gap ahead of the October vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоACM Нето 47%
Жерониму Родригес 46%
Клебер Роза <1%
Жозе Карлос Алелуйя <1%
$107,907 Объем
$107,907 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
ACM Нето
47%
Жерониму Родригес
46%
Клебер Роза
<1%
Жозе Карлос Алелуйя
<1%
Жуау Рома
<1%
Бруно Соарес Рейс
<1%
Руй Коста
<1%
ACM Нето 47%
Жерониму Родригес 46%
Клебер Роза <1%
Жозе Карлос Алелуйя <1%
$107,907 Объем
$107,907 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
ACM Нето
$35,900 Объем
47%
Жерониму Родригес
$34,828 Объем
46%
Клебер Роза
$11,407 Объем
<1%
Жозе Карлос Алелуйя
$9,514 Объем
<1%
Жуау Рома
$5,186 Объем
<1%
Бруно Соарес Рейс
$5,325 Объем
<1%
Руй Коста
$5,747 Объем
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight 2026 Bahia gubernatorial race reflects a rematch between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and former Salvador mayor ACM Neto (União Brasil), with recent polls from Quaest, Genial/Quaest, and Real Time Big Data showing the pair separated by just a few points in first-round scenarios—often within the margin of error. Rodrigues’s recovered approval ratings on education and infrastructure have narrowed Neto’s earlier lead, while national political realignments, including União’s break with the Lula administration and Neto’s ties to the right-wing bloc, have mobilized competing voter bases. A recent debate highlighted shared priorities on health, security, and the environment without producing decisive shifts. Upcoming campaign milestones, endorsements from municipal leaders, or late developments in turnout and rejection rates could widen the gap ahead of the October vote.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Объем
$107,907Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight 2026 Bahia gubernatorial race reflects a rematch between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and former Salvador mayor ACM Neto (União Brasil), with recent polls from Quaest, Genial/Quaest, and Real Time Big Data showing the pair separated by just a few points in first-round scenarios—often within the margin of error. Rodrigues’s recovered approval ratings on education and infrastructure have narrowed Neto’s earlier lead, while national political realignments, including União’s break with the Lula administration and Neto’s ties to the right-wing bloc, have mobilized competing voter bases. A recent debate highlighted shared priorities on health, security, and the environment without producing decisive shifts. Upcoming campaign milestones, endorsements from municipal leaders, or late developments in turnout and rejection rates could widen the gap ahead of the October vote.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$107,907Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight 2026 Bahia gubernatorial race reflects a rematch between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and former Salvador mayor ACM Neto (União Brasil), with recent polls from Quaest, Genial/Quaest, and Real Time Big Data showing the pair separated by just a few points in first-round scenarios—often within the margin of error. Rodrigues’s recovered approval ratings on education and infrastructure have narrowed Neto’s earlier lead, while national political realignments, including União’s break with the Lula administration and Neto’s ties to the right-wing bloc, have mobilized competing voter bases. A recent debate highlighted shared priorities on health, security, and the environment without producing decisive shifts. Upcoming campaign milestones, endorsements from municipal leaders, or late developments in turnout and rejection rates could widen the gap ahead of the October vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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