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Политика·Основные выборы

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner

icon for Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner
Политика·Основные выборы

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner

Luciano Zucco 62%

Juliana Brizola 36%

Gabriel Souza 4.3%

Marcelo Maranata <1%

Polymarket

$89,946 Объем

Luciano Zucco 62%

Juliana Brizola 36%

Gabriel Souza 4.3%

Marcelo Maranata <1%

Polymarket

$89,946 Объем

Luciano Zucco

$39,688 Объем

62%

Juliana Brizola

$32,429 Объем

36%

Gabriel Souza

$9,082 Объем

4%

Marcelo Maranata

$6,330 Объем

<1%

Luis Carlos Heinze

$2,418 Объем

<1%

The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls for the October 2026 first-round vote in Rio Grande do Sul show a tight contest between Luciano Zucco (PL) and Juliana Brizola (PDT), with technical ties or narrow leads in July surveys from Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas reflecting national polarization and term-limited incumbent Eduardo Leite's succession dynamics. Zucco's stronger positioning in earlier June data and alignment with right-leaning voters have supported trader consensus around his frontrunner status, while Brizola consolidates left-leaning support as the main alternative. Gabriel Souza (MDB) trails as the centrist continuity option amid lower viability in head-to-head scenarios, with minor candidates registering negligible shares.

The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$89,946
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls for the October 2026 first-round vote in Rio Grande do Sul show a tight contest between Luciano Zucco (PL) and Juliana Brizola (PDT), with technical ties or narrow leads in July surveys from Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas reflecting national polarization and term-limited incumbent Eduardo Leite's succession dynamics. Zucco's stronger positioning in earlier June data and alignment with right-leaning voters have supported trader consensus around his frontrunner status, while Brizola consolidates left-leaning support as the main alternative. Gabriel Souza (MDB) trails as the centrist continuity option amid lower viability in head-to-head scenarios, with minor candidates registering negligible shares.

The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$89,946
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Эдуарду Паэс выборы губернатора Рио-де-Жанейро?

Выиграет ли Эдуарду Паэс выборы губернатора Рио-де-Жанейро?

93%
Да
icon for Сергио Моро победит на выборах губернатора Параны?

Сергио Моро победит на выборах губернатора Параны?

86%
Да
icon for Раакель Лира выиграет выборы губернатора Пернамбуку?

Раакель Лира выиграет выборы губернатора Пернамбуку?

67%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Luciano Zucco» с 62%, за ним следует «Juliana Brizola» с 36%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 62¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 62%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $89.9K с момента запуска рынка May 28, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner», просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner» — «Luciano Zucco» с 62%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 62%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Juliana Brizola» с 36%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.