Skip to main content
icon for Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner
Политика·Основные выборы

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner

icon for Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner
Политика·Основные выборы

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner

Luciano Zucco 62%

Juliana Brizola 36%

Gabriel Souza 4.3%

Marcelo Maranata <1%

Polymarket

$89,946 Объем

Luciano Zucco 62%

Juliana Brizola 36%

Gabriel Souza 4.3%

Marcelo Maranata <1%

Polymarket

$89,946 Объем

Luciano Zucco

$39,688 Объем

62%

Juliana Brizola

$32,429 Объем

36%

Gabriel Souza

$9,082 Объем

4%

Marcelo Maranata

$6,330 Объем

<1%

Luis Carlos Heinze

$2,418 Объем

<1%

The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Zucco leads trader consensus in the Rio Grande do Sul governor race primarily due to his PL party alignment and right-wing momentum in a polarized state, despite recent Genial/Quaest polling showing a technical tie with Brizola at 24% to 22% in the first round. The PDT candidate benefits from left-leaning support and Lula-aligned networks, yet faces higher rejection rates in surveys. Vice Governor Gabriel Souza (MDB) and lower-polling names like Maranata trail far behind with single-digit or negligible shares, leaving the contest centered on the two frontrunners. Official candidacies were confirmed in early August ahead of the October election, with over 30% undecided voters creating room for shifts based on alliances, turnout, and second-round dynamics.

The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$89,946
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Zucco leads trader consensus in the Rio Grande do Sul governor race primarily due to his PL party alignment and right-wing momentum in a polarized state, despite recent Genial/Quaest polling showing a technical tie with Brizola at 24% to 22% in the first round. The PDT candidate benefits from left-leaning support and Lula-aligned networks, yet faces higher rejection rates in surveys. Vice Governor Gabriel Souza (MDB) and lower-polling names like Maranata trail far behind with single-digit or negligible shares, leaving the contest centered on the two frontrunners. Official candidacies were confirmed in early August ahead of the October election, with over 30% undecided voters creating room for shifts based on alliances, turnout, and second-round dynamics.

The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$89,946
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Эдуарду Паэс выборы губернатора Рио-де-Жанейро?

Выиграет ли Эдуарду Паэс выборы губернатора Рио-де-Жанейро?

93%
Да
icon for Сергио Моро победит на выборах губернатора Параны?

Сергио Моро победит на выборах губернатора Параны?

86%
Да
icon for Раакель Лира выиграет выборы губернатора Пернамбуку?

Раакель Лира выиграет выборы губернатора Пернамбуку?

67%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Luciano Zucco» с 62%, за ним следует «Juliana Brizola» с 36%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 62¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 62%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $89.9K с момента запуска рынка May 28, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner», просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner» — «Luciano Zucco» с 62%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 62%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Juliana Brizola» с 36%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.