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icon for Победитель выборов губернатора Пернамбуку
Политика·Бразилия

Победитель выборов губернатора Пернамбуку

icon for Победитель выборов губернатора Пернамбуку
Политика·Бразилия

Победитель выборов губернатора Пернамбуку

Раакель Лира 64%

Жоау Кампус 36%

Иван Мораэс <1%

Polymarket

$30,644 Объем

Раакель Лира 64%

Жоау Кампус 36%

Иван Мораэс <1%

Polymarket

$30,644 Объем

icon for Раакель Лира

Раакель Лира

$13,130 Объем

64%

Жоау Кампус

$14,489 Объем

36%

Иван Мораэс

$3,025 Объем

<1%

The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Raquel Lyra, the incumbent PSD governor of Pernambuco, holds a clear lead in recent polling for the 2026 gubernatorial election, with her support rising to 44% in the latest Quaest survey conducted August 21-24. This places her ahead of main challenger João Campos (PSB), the former Recife mayor, at 36%, with Ivan Moraes (PSOL) at 1% and others negligible. Her government approval stands at 68%, reflecting stability since earlier rounds where the race was within the margin of error. Traders appear to price in the advantages of incumbency and consistent polling momentum for Lyra, alongside Campos's position as the primary alternative backed by national PT figures. The first-round dynamics and potential runoff scenarios remain the core variables ahead of October voting.

The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$30,644
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Raquel Lyra, the incumbent PSD governor of Pernambuco, holds a clear lead in recent polling for the 2026 gubernatorial election, with her support rising to 44% in the latest Quaest survey conducted August 21-24. This places her ahead of main challenger João Campos (PSB), the former Recife mayor, at 36%, with Ivan Moraes (PSOL) at 1% and others negligible. Her government approval stands at 68%, reflecting stability since earlier rounds where the race was within the margin of error. Traders appear to price in the advantages of incumbency and consistent polling momentum for Lyra, alongside Campos's position as the primary alternative backed by national PT figures. The first-round dynamics and potential runoff scenarios remain the core variables ahead of October voting.

The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$30,644
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Лукас Рибейро выборы губернатора Параибы?

Выиграет ли Лукас Рибейро выборы губернатора Параибы?

80%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Эдуардо Брайде выборы губернатора штата Мараньян?

Выиграет ли Эдуардо Брайде выборы губернатора штата Мараньян?

72%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Фабио губернаторские выборы в Сержипи в 2026 году?

Выиграет ли Фабио губернаторские выборы в Сержипи в 2026 году?

78%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов губернатора Пернамбуку» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 3 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Раакель Лира» с 64%, за ним следует «Жоау Кампус» с 36%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 64¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 64%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Победитель выборов губернатора Пернамбуку» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $30.6K с момента запуска рынка Jul 9, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов губернатора Пернамбуку», просмотри 3 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов губернатора Пернамбуку» — «Раакель Лира» с 64%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 64%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Жоау Кампус» с 36%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов губернатора Пернамбуку» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.