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icon for Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Мату-Гросу-ду-Сул
Выборы·Бразилия

Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Мату-Гросу-ду-Сул

icon for Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Мату-Гросу-ду-Сул
Выборы·Бразилия

Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Мату-Гросу-ду-Сул

Ronaldo Caiado 38%

Pablo Marçal 38%

Samara 35%

Zema 33%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Ronaldo Caiado 38%

Pablo Marçal 38%

Samara 35%

Zema 33%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$0 Объем

38%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$0 Объем

38%

icon for Samara

Samara

$0 Объем

35%

icon for Zema

Zema

$0 Объем

33%

icon for Lula

Lula

$0 Объем

32%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$0 Объем

32%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$0 Объем

32%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$0 Объем

32%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$0 Объем

30%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$0 Объем

29%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$0 Объем

29%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$23 Объем

10%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$0 Объем

11%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).In Mato Grosso do Sul’s agribusiness-heavy electorate, trader odds reflect a fragmented first-round contest ahead of the October 4 vote, with no candidate holding a decisive edge. National polling shows President Lula leading Senator Flávio Bolsonaro overall, yet the state’s conservative leanings and economic priorities boost right-leaning options including Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema, while vote-splitting among multiple contenders keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. Recent campaign launches on August 16, completed party conventions, and the absence of major late-breaking state-specific events have sustained this balance, with local turnout patterns and potential endorsements or regional economic signals likely to create separation before election day.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Объем
$23
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).In Mato Grosso do Sul’s agribusiness-heavy electorate, trader odds reflect a fragmented first-round contest ahead of the October 4 vote, with no candidate holding a decisive edge. National polling shows President Lula leading Senator Flávio Bolsonaro overall, yet the state’s conservative leanings and economic priorities boost right-leaning options including Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema, while vote-splitting among multiple contenders keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. Recent campaign launches on August 16, completed party conventions, and the absence of major late-breaking state-specific events have sustained this balance, with local turnout patterns and potential endorsements or regional economic signals likely to create separation before election day.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Объем
$23
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Связанные

icon for Получит ли Флавио Болсонару наибольшее количество голосов на следующих президентских выборах в Бразилии в Мату-Гросу?

Получит ли Флавио Болсонару наибольшее количество голосов на следующих президентских выборах в Бразилии в Мату-Гросу?

47%
Да
icon for Сможет ли Лула набрать больше всего голосов на следующих президентских выборах в Бразилии от штата Риу-Гранди-ду-Сул?

Сможет ли Лула набрать больше всего голосов на следующих президентских выборах в Бразилии от штата Риу-Гранди-ду-Сул?

46%
Да
icon for Получит ли Флавио Болсонару наибольшее количество голосов на следующих президентских выборах в Бразилии в штате Парана?

Получит ли Флавио Болсонару наибольшее количество голосов на следующих президентских выборах в Бразилии в штате Парана?

74%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Мату-Гросу-ду-Сул» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 13 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Ronaldo Caiado» с 39%, за ним следует «Pablo Marçal» с 38%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 39¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 39%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Мату-Гросу-ду-Сул» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 17, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Мату-Гросу-ду-Сул», просмотри 13 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Мату-Гросу-ду-Сул» — «Ronaldo Caiado» с 39%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 39%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Pablo Marçal» с 38%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Мату-Гросу-ду-Сул» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.