**Catalina Lauf holds a dominant 75% implied probability in the August 18 Republican primary for Florida’s 19th congressional district, driven by recent high-profile endorsements and fundraising momentum.** Sitting U.S. Reps. Kat Cammack and Greg Steube publicly backed her in mid-August, joining other Florida delegation support as she campaigns to succeed Byron Donalds. Lauf, a former Trump administration official now based in Bonita Springs, has raised over $1.67 million and leads internal polling in a crowded 10-candidate field. Jim Schwartzel trails at 12% amid solid fundraising but limited establishment momentum, while Jim Oberweis, Madison Cawthorn, and lower-polling entrants face structural barriers in the short remaining window. The primary’s proximity concentrates trader focus on last-minute endorsements and voter consolidation in this safely Republican seat.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКаталина Лауф 77%
Джим Швартцель 11.0%
Джим Обервейс 3.0%
Мэдисон Котторн <1%
$73,205 Объем
$73,205 Объем
Каталина Лауф
77%
Джим Швартцель
11%
Джим Обервейс
3%
Мэдисон Котторн
1%
Боб Роммел
<1%
Спенсер Роч
<1%
Каталина Лауф 77%
Джим Швартцель 11.0%
Джим Обервейс 3.0%
Мэдисон Котторн <1%
$73,205 Объем
$73,205 Объем
Каталина Лауф
77%
Джим Швартцель
11%
Джим Обервейс
3%
Мэдисон Котторн
1%
Боб Роммел
<1%
Спенсер Роч
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Catalina Lauf holds a dominant 75% implied probability in the August 18 Republican primary for Florida’s 19th congressional district, driven by recent high-profile endorsements and fundraising momentum.** Sitting U.S. Reps. Kat Cammack and Greg Steube publicly backed her in mid-August, joining other Florida delegation support as she campaigns to succeed Byron Donalds. Lauf, a former Trump administration official now based in Bonita Springs, has raised over $1.67 million and leads internal polling in a crowded 10-candidate field. Jim Schwartzel trails at 12% amid solid fundraising but limited establishment momentum, while Jim Oberweis, Madison Cawthorn, and lower-polling entrants face structural barriers in the short remaining window. The primary’s proximity concentrates trader focus on last-minute endorsements and voter consolidation in this safely Republican seat.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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