Recent polling for Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election shows Miljöpartiet support fluctuating between roughly 6.3% and 7.8% across major surveys, placing the party near the 7% line and sustaining tight trader consensus on the under outcome. The Green Party’s results remain sensitive to competition within the centre-left bloc from Vänsterpartiet and broader opposition dynamics, with modest shifts tied to urban and younger voter turnout plus relative emphasis on environmental policy versus economic concerns. Late-campaign events such as leader debates, turnout patterns, or bloc realignments could still alter final vote shares and tip the market either way before election night.