Lula holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability of finishing first in Piauí during the October 4, 2026 first round, reflecting the state's entrenched position as a Northeast stronghold for the Workers' Party and its candidates. Historical voting patterns show overwhelming support for Lula in the region tied to social welfare programs and party infrastructure, with recent national polling and his August campaign launch reinforcing continuity in these areas. Minor candidates and right-leaning options trail far behind, consistent with limited regional traction. While late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or turnout shifts could theoretically alter outcomes, Piauí's structural alignment with Lula's base makes such reversals improbable under current conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЛула 78%
Эдмилсон Коста 24%
Самара 24%
Херц Диас 22%

Лула
78%

Эдмилсон Коста
24%

Самара
24%

Херц Диас
22%

Флавио Болсонару
22%

Клариана Барао
16%

Руй Кошта Пимента
15%

Ветеринарный врач Вилсон Грасси
15%

Роналду Кайаду
14%

Пабло Марсал
7%

Ренан Сантос
7%

Писатель Аугусто Кури
5%

Зема
5%
Лула 78%
Эдмилсон Коста 24%
Самара 24%
Херц Диас 22%

Лула
78%

Эдмилсон Коста
24%

Самара
24%

Херц Диас
22%

Флавио Болсонару
22%

Клариана Барао
16%

Руй Кошта Пимента
15%

Ветеринарный врач Вилсон Грасси
15%

Роналду Кайаду
14%

Пабло Марсал
7%

Ренан Сантос
7%

Писатель Аугусто Кури
5%

Зема
5%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability of finishing first in Piauí during the October 4, 2026 first round, reflecting the state's entrenched position as a Northeast stronghold for the Workers' Party and its candidates. Historical voting patterns show overwhelming support for Lula in the region tied to social welfare programs and party infrastructure, with recent national polling and his August campaign launch reinforcing continuity in these areas. Minor candidates and right-leaning options trail far behind, consistent with limited regional traction. While late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or turnout shifts could theoretically alter outcomes, Piauí's structural alignment with Lula's base makes such reversals improbable under current conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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