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icon for Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Токантинсе
Политика·Бразилия

Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Токантинсе

icon for Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Токантинсе
Политика·Бразилия

Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Токантинсе

Флавио Болсонару 44%

Лула 40%

Клариана Барао <1%

Эдмилсон Коста <1%

Polymarket

$23,812 Объем

Флавио Болсонару 44%

Лула 40%

Клариана Барао <1%

Эдмилсон Коста <1%

Polymarket

$23,812 Объем

icon for Флавио Болсонару

Флавио Болсонару

$11,341 Объем

49%

icon for Лула

Лула

$6,345 Объем

46%

icon for Клариана Барао

Клариана Барао

$558 Объем

<1%

icon for Эдмилсон Коста

Эдмилсон Коста

$542 Объем

<1%

icon for Эскритор Аугусто Кури

Эскритор Аугусто Кури

$575 Объем

<1%

icon for Херц Диас

Херц Диас

$342 Объем

<1%

icon for Пабло Марсал

Пабло Марсал

$1,256 Объем

<1%

icon for Ренан Сантос

Ренан Сантос

$406 Объем

<1%

icon for Роналду Кайаду

Роналду Кайаду

$438 Объем

<1%

icon for Руй Кошта Пимента

Руй Кошта Пимента

$601 Объем

<1%

icon for Самара

Самара

$432 Объем

<1%

icon for Ветеринарий Вилсон Грасси

Ветеринарий Вилсон Грасси

$527 Объем

<1%

icon for Зема

Зема

$448 Объем

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polls in Tocantins show President Lula (PT) and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) essentially tied for first place in first-round voting intentions, with each hovering around 36-40 percent amid margins of error. This narrow contest reflects the state's mixed electorate, where Lula's incumbency and PT organizational strength compete against Flávio's appeal as the leading conservative contender and the Bolsonaro family's regional support. Lower-polling names such as Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury remain well behind, limiting their near-term impact on the top spot. Trader consensus prices near parity capture this balance, with separation likely hinging on final-week campaigning, turnout shifts among rural and urban voters, or any late national developments affecting candidate visibility before the October 4 vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Объем
$23,812
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polls in Tocantins show President Lula (PT) and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) essentially tied for first place in first-round voting intentions, with each hovering around 36-40 percent amid margins of error. This narrow contest reflects the state's mixed electorate, where Lula's incumbency and PT organizational strength compete against Flávio's appeal as the leading conservative contender and the Bolsonaro family's regional support. Lower-polling names such as Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury remain well behind, limiting their near-term impact on the top spot. Trader consensus prices near parity capture this balance, with separation likely hinging on final-week campaigning, turnout shifts among rural and urban voters, or any late national developments affecting candidate visibility before the October 4 vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Объем
$23,812
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Лула большинство голосов в первом туре президентских выборов в Бразилии 2026 года?

Выиграет ли Лула большинство голосов в первом туре президентских выборов в Бразилии 2026 года?

77%
Да
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

92%
icon for Получит ли Флавио Болсонару наибольшее количество голосов на следующих президентских выборах в Бразилии от Санта-Катарини?

Получит ли Флавио Болсонару наибольшее количество голосов на следующих президентских выборах в Бразилии от Санта-Катарини?

98%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Токантинсе» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 13 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Флавио Болсонару» с 49%, за ним следует «Лула» с 46%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 49¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 49%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Токантинсе» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $23.8K с момента запуска рынка Aug 17, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Токантинсе», просмотри 13 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Токантинсе» — «Флавио Болсонару» с 49%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 49%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Лула» с 46%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Токантинсе» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.