Opposition lawmakers have filed repeated impeachment requests against STF Justice Alexandre de Moraes, including a new one on August 12, 2026, alleging procedural violations in authorizing searches related to a journalistic source. These petitions, now exceeding 50 in total, reach the Senate president for initial review under Brazil’s impeachment law, but none have advanced to trial in recent years. Senate leadership has historically rejected requests centered on the merits of judicial decisions, citing protections for court independence. Structural requirements, such as broad congressional majorities and procedural thresholds, combined with Moraes’s ongoing role in high-profile cases, sustain trader expectations that removal will not occur before the market resolves.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
9% вероятность
$30,867 Объем
$30,867 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
9% вероятность
$30,867 Объем
$30,867 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Opposition lawmakers have filed repeated impeachment requests against STF Justice Alexandre de Moraes, including a new one on August 12, 2026, alleging procedural violations in authorizing searches related to a journalistic source. These petitions, now exceeding 50 in total, reach the Senate president for initial review under Brazil’s impeachment law, but none have advanced to trial in recent years. Senate leadership has historically rejected requests centered on the merits of judicial decisions, citing protections for court independence. Structural requirements, such as broad congressional majorities and procedural thresholds, combined with Moraes’s ongoing role in high-profile cases, sustain trader expectations that removal will not occur before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
Объем
$30,867Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Opposition lawmakers have filed repeated impeachment requests against STF Justice Alexandre de Moraes, including a new one on August 12, 2026, alleging procedural violations in authorizing searches related to a journalistic source. These petitions, now exceeding 50 in total, reach the Senate president for initial review under Brazil’s impeachment law, but none have advanced to trial in recent years. Senate leadership has historically rejected requests centered on the merits of judicial decisions, citing protections for court independence. Structural requirements, such as broad congressional majorities and procedural thresholds, combined with Moraes’s ongoing role in high-profile cases, sustain trader expectations that removal will not occur before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$30,867Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Opposition lawmakers have filed repeated impeachment requests against STF Justice Alexandre de Moraes, including a new one on August 12, 2026, alleging procedural violations in authorizing searches related to a journalistic source. These petitions, now exceeding 50 in total, reach the Senate president for initial review under Brazil’s impeachment law, but none have advanced to trial in recent years. Senate leadership has historically rejected requests centered on the merits of judicial decisions, citing protections for court independence. Structural requirements, such as broad congressional majorities and procedural thresholds, combined with Moraes’s ongoing role in high-profile cases, sustain trader expectations that removal will not occur before the market resolves.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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