Multiple Republican candidates, including state senators Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez along with Larry Davis and others, are competing in Louisiana’s 6th district jungle primary on November 3, 2026, after redistricting and the withdrawal of incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields. This crowded field in a Republican-leaning district fragments the vote, making it unlikely any single contender reaches the 50% threshold needed for an outright win without a December 12 runoff. Recent qualifying and the reversion to the open primary format reinforce trader consensus on a divided outcome. Late candidate withdrawals, major endorsements consolidating support behind one frontrunner, or unusually high turnout for a particular contender remain the main variables that could still shift the result.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей LA-06?
Победитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей LA-06?
Да
2% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Да
2% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.Multiple Republican candidates, including state senators Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez along with Larry Davis and others, are competing in Louisiana’s 6th district jungle primary on November 3, 2026, after redistricting and the withdrawal of incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields. This crowded field in a Republican-leaning district fragments the vote, making it unlikely any single contender reaches the 50% threshold needed for an outright win without a December 12 runoff. Recent qualifying and the reversion to the open primary format reinforce trader consensus on a divided outcome. Late candidate withdrawals, major endorsements consolidating support behind one frontrunner, or unusually high turnout for a particular contender remain the main variables that could still shift the result.
The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Объем
$1,318Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.Multiple Republican candidates, including state senators Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez along with Larry Davis and others, are competing in Louisiana’s 6th district jungle primary on November 3, 2026, after redistricting and the withdrawal of incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields. This crowded field in a Republican-leaning district fragments the vote, making it unlikely any single contender reaches the 50% threshold needed for an outright win without a December 12 runoff. Recent qualifying and the reversion to the open primary format reinforce trader consensus on a divided outcome. Late candidate withdrawals, major endorsements consolidating support behind one frontrunner, or unusually high turnout for a particular contender remain the main variables that could still shift the result.
The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.
Объем
$1,318Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Multiple Republican candidates, including state senators Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez along with Larry Davis and others, are competing in Louisiana’s 6th district jungle primary on November 3, 2026, after redistricting and the withdrawal of incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields. This crowded field in a Republican-leaning district fragments the vote, making it unlikely any single contender reaches the 50% threshold needed for an outright win without a December 12 runoff. Recent qualifying and the reversion to the open primary format reinforce trader consensus on a divided outcome. Late candidate withdrawals, major endorsements consolidating support behind one frontrunner, or unusually high turnout for a particular contender remain the main variables that could still shift the result.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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