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Победитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-05?

icon for Победитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-05?

Победитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-05?

Да

96% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Да

96% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-05 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-05 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-05 House election.In Georgia's 5th congressional district, a heavily Democratic seat anchored in urban Atlanta with a Partisan Voter Index of D+36, incumbent Nikema Williams faces only Republican John Salvesen in the November 3, 2026, general election. Williams secured the Democratic nomination with 88% in the May primary, while Salvesen ran unopposed, leaving a two-candidate field with no notable third-party or independent entrants. Historical results show the Democratic nominee routinely exceeding 85% of the vote in this district. Georgia law requires a majority for an outright win to avoid a December runoff, and the combination of strong partisan lean, incumbency, and limited opposition drives the near-certain trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Late developments such as an unexpected candidate entry, major scandal, or sharp turnout shift could theoretically alter margins, though such factors remain remote based on available evidence.

The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-05 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-05 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-05 House election.
Объем
$178
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ET
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-05 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-05 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-05 House election.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-05 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-05 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-05 House election.In Georgia's 5th congressional district, a heavily Democratic seat anchored in urban Atlanta with a Partisan Voter Index of D+36, incumbent Nikema Williams faces only Republican John Salvesen in the November 3, 2026, general election. Williams secured the Democratic nomination with 88% in the May primary, while Salvesen ran unopposed, leaving a two-candidate field with no notable third-party or independent entrants. Historical results show the Democratic nominee routinely exceeding 85% of the vote in this district. Georgia law requires a majority for an outright win to avoid a December runoff, and the combination of strong partisan lean, incumbency, and limited opposition drives the near-certain trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Late developments such as an unexpected candidate entry, major scandal, or sharp turnout shift could theoretically alter margins, though such factors remain remote based on available evidence.

The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-05 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-05 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-05 House election.
Объем
$178
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ET
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-05 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-05 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-05 House election.

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Текущий фаворит для «Победитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-05?» — «Победитель первого тура на выборах в Палату представителей по округу GA-05?» с 96%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 96%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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