Texas's 22nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, with the open contest following incumbent Troy Nehls's retirement drawing limited Democratic investment. The Republican nominee Trever Nehls secured the primary nomination, while Democrat Marquette Greene-Scott advanced on the other side. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and similar outlets classify the race as Solid Republican, consistent with the district's R+9 or greater partisan lean, its suburban and exurban voter base in Fort Bend and surrounding counties, and historical margins favoring GOP candidates. Traders reflect this structural advantage in current pricing. A national Democratic wave, unusually high turnout in Democratic strongholds, or late-cycle scandals could narrow the gap, though such shifts have rarely overcome the district's baseline in recent cycles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-22 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-22 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$20,241 Объем
$20,241 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
91%
Демократическая партия
8%
$20,241 Объем
$20,241 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$10,652 Объем
91%
Демократическая партия
$9,589 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 22nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, with the open contest following incumbent Troy Nehls's retirement drawing limited Democratic investment. The Republican nominee Trever Nehls secured the primary nomination, while Democrat Marquette Greene-Scott advanced on the other side. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and similar outlets classify the race as Solid Republican, consistent with the district's R+9 or greater partisan lean, its suburban and exurban voter base in Fort Bend and surrounding counties, and historical margins favoring GOP candidates. Traders reflect this structural advantage in current pricing. A national Democratic wave, unusually high turnout in Democratic strongholds, or late-cycle scandals could narrow the gap, though such shifts have rarely overcome the district's baseline in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$20,241Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 22nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, with the open contest following incumbent Troy Nehls's retirement drawing limited Democratic investment. The Republican nominee Trever Nehls secured the primary nomination, while Democrat Marquette Greene-Scott advanced on the other side. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and similar outlets classify the race as Solid Republican, consistent with the district's R+9 or greater partisan lean, its suburban and exurban voter base in Fort Bend and surrounding counties, and historical margins favoring GOP candidates. Traders reflect this structural advantage in current pricing. A national Democratic wave, unusually high turnout in Democratic strongholds, or late-cycle scandals could narrow the gap, though such shifts have rarely overcome the district's baseline in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$20,241Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 22nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, with the open contest following incumbent Troy Nehls's retirement drawing limited Democratic investment. The Republican nominee Trever Nehls secured the primary nomination, while Democrat Marquette Greene-Scott advanced on the other side. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and similar outlets classify the race as Solid Republican, consistent with the district's R+9 or greater partisan lean, its suburban and exurban voter base in Fort Bend and surrounding counties, and historical margins favoring GOP candidates. Traders reflect this structural advantage in current pricing. A national Democratic wave, unusually high turnout in Democratic strongholds, or late-cycle scandals could narrow the gap, though such shifts have rarely overcome the district's baseline in recent cycles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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