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icon for ME-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
Политика·Промежуточные выборы

ME-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей

icon for ME-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
Политика·Промежуточные выборы

ME-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Республиканская партия

$5,782 Объем

58%

Демократическая партия

$2,263 Объем

43%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maine’s 2nd congressional district features an open seat after Democratic incumbent Jared Golden’s retirement, pitting Republican nominee and former governor Paul LePage against Democratic nominee Matt Dunlap following a June 2026 ranked-choice primary. The district’s rural character, recent Republican strength in statewide races, and alignment with national midterm dynamics keep the contest close, as shown by polling averages near the margin of error. Trader consensus at 58% for Republicans versus 42.5% for Democrats reflects LePage’s name recognition and fundraising edge balanced against Dunlap’s state government experience and the seat’s historical competitiveness. Upcoming debates, endorsements, turnout patterns in key counties, and any shifts in economic sentiment could widen the gap before the November general election.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$8,044
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maine’s 2nd congressional district features an open seat after Democratic incumbent Jared Golden’s retirement, pitting Republican nominee and former governor Paul LePage against Democratic nominee Matt Dunlap following a June 2026 ranked-choice primary. The district’s rural character, recent Republican strength in statewide races, and alignment with national midterm dynamics keep the contest close, as shown by polling averages near the margin of error. Trader consensus at 58% for Republicans versus 42.5% for Democrats reflects LePage’s name recognition and fundraising edge balanced against Dunlap’s state government experience and the seat’s historical competitiveness. Upcoming debates, endorsements, turnout patterns in key counties, and any shifts in economic sentiment could widen the gap before the November general election.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$8,044
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Связанные

icon for Победит ли Демократическая партия на выборах в Палату представителей по округу MA-02?

Победит ли Демократическая партия на выборах в Палату представителей по округу MA-02?

95%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Республиканская партия место в Палате представителей по округу MI-02?

Выиграет ли Республиканская партия место в Палате представителей по округу MI-02?

98%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей от округа MD-02?

Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей от округа MD-02?

95%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«ME-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Республиканская партия» с 58%, за ним следует «Демократическая партия» с 43%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 58¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 58%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«ME-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jul 20, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «ME-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «ME-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» — «Республиканская партия» с 58%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 58%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Демократическая партия» с 43%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «ME-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.