Maine’s 2nd Congressional District remains a closely contested open seat in the 2026 House elections, with trader consensus assigning Paul LePage a modest edge over Matthew Dunlap. The district’s consistent Republican presidential margins contrast with its history of electing moderate Democrats, creating a narrow path that favors the former governor’s name recognition, fundraising lead, and alignment with the area’s conservative lean. Dunlap’s June primary victory through ranked-choice voting positioned him as the Democratic nominee but highlighted his more progressive profile compared with retiring Rep. Jared Golden. Upcoming October debates and late-cycle polling shifts on issues such as the economy and federal policy could still alter the balance before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоME-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
ME-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Пол ЛеПейдж (Р)
56%
Мэттью Данлап (Д)
42%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Пол ЛеПейдж (Р)
$5,820 Объем
56%
Мэттью Данлап (Д)
$2,263 Объем
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maine’s 2nd Congressional District remains a closely contested open seat in the 2026 House elections, with trader consensus assigning Paul LePage a modest edge over Matthew Dunlap. The district’s consistent Republican presidential margins contrast with its history of electing moderate Democrats, creating a narrow path that favors the former governor’s name recognition, fundraising lead, and alignment with the area’s conservative lean. Dunlap’s June primary victory through ranked-choice voting positioned him as the Democratic nominee but highlighted his more progressive profile compared with retiring Rep. Jared Golden. Upcoming October debates and late-cycle polling shifts on issues such as the economy and federal policy could still alter the balance before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Объем
$8,083Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maine’s 2nd Congressional District remains a closely contested open seat in the 2026 House elections, with trader consensus assigning Paul LePage a modest edge over Matthew Dunlap. The district’s consistent Republican presidential margins contrast with its history of electing moderate Democrats, creating a narrow path that favors the former governor’s name recognition, fundraising lead, and alignment with the area’s conservative lean. Dunlap’s June primary victory through ranked-choice voting positioned him as the Democratic nominee but highlighted his more progressive profile compared with retiring Rep. Jared Golden. Upcoming October debates and late-cycle polling shifts on issues such as the economy and federal policy could still alter the balance before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$8,083Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Maine’s 2nd Congressional District remains a closely contested open seat in the 2026 House elections, with trader consensus assigning Paul LePage a modest edge over Matthew Dunlap. The district’s consistent Republican presidential margins contrast with its history of electing moderate Democrats, creating a narrow path that favors the former governor’s name recognition, fundraising lead, and alignment with the area’s conservative lean. Dunlap’s June primary victory through ranked-choice voting positioned him as the Democratic nominee but highlighted his more progressive profile compared with retiring Rep. Jared Golden. Upcoming October debates and late-cycle polling shifts on issues such as the economy and federal policy could still alter the balance before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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