The current market positioning favoring a Democratic victory in Wisconsin's 2026 gubernatorial election reflects the state's recent voting patterns and the composition of the candidate fields following incumbent Tony Evers's decision not to seek a third term. With the August 11 primary still months away, Democratic contenders including Mandela Barnes and Francesca Hong have established early leads in name recognition and polling among their party's voters, while the Republican side has largely consolidated around U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. This dynamic has shaped trader assessments of the general-election matchup on November 3, where historical turnout advantages for Democrats in statewide races and Wisconsin's competitive but slightly left-leaning partisan environment contribute to the implied probability. No major developments in the past month have significantly altered these assessments, leaving the race sensitive to primary outcomes and subsequent general-election polling.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Висконсина
Победитель выборов губернатора Висконсина
$69,328 Объем
$69,328 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
81%
Республиканец
20%
$69,328 Объем
$69,328 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
$12,244 Объем
81%
Республиканец
$57,084 Объем
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The current market positioning favoring a Democratic victory in Wisconsin's 2026 gubernatorial election reflects the state's recent voting patterns and the composition of the candidate fields following incumbent Tony Evers's decision not to seek a third term. With the August 11 primary still months away, Democratic contenders including Mandela Barnes and Francesca Hong have established early leads in name recognition and polling among their party's voters, while the Republican side has largely consolidated around U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. This dynamic has shaped trader assessments of the general-election matchup on November 3, where historical turnout advantages for Democrats in statewide races and Wisconsin's competitive but slightly left-leaning partisan environment contribute to the implied probability. No major developments in the past month have significantly altered these assessments, leaving the race sensitive to primary outcomes and subsequent general-election polling.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Объем
$69,328Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The current market positioning favoring a Democratic victory in Wisconsin's 2026 gubernatorial election reflects the state's recent voting patterns and the composition of the candidate fields following incumbent Tony Evers's decision not to seek a third term. With the August 11 primary still months away, Democratic contenders including Mandela Barnes and Francesca Hong have established early leads in name recognition and polling among their party's voters, while the Republican side has largely consolidated around U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. This dynamic has shaped trader assessments of the general-election matchup on November 3, where historical turnout advantages for Democrats in statewide races and Wisconsin's competitive but slightly left-leaning partisan environment contribute to the implied probability. No major developments in the past month have significantly altered these assessments, leaving the race sensitive to primary outcomes and subsequent general-election polling.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$69,328Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The current market positioning favoring a Democratic victory in Wisconsin's 2026 gubernatorial election reflects the state's recent voting patterns and the composition of the candidate fields following incumbent Tony Evers's decision not to seek a third term. With the August 11 primary still months away, Democratic contenders including Mandela Barnes and Francesca Hong have established early leads in name recognition and polling among their party's voters, while the Republican side has largely consolidated around U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. This dynamic has shaped trader assessments of the general-election matchup on November 3, where historical turnout advantages for Democrats in statewide races and Wisconsin's competitive but slightly left-leaning partisan environment contribute to the implied probability. No major developments in the past month have significantly altered these assessments, leaving the race sensitive to primary outcomes and subsequent general-election polling.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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