Trader consensus favors former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes at 54% implied probability to win the August 11 Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor, driven by his strong statewide name recognition from the 2019–2023 lieutenant governorship and competitive 2022 U.S. Senate campaign. State Rep. Francesca Hong trails at 33%, buoyed by grassroots progressive support and endorsements like Rep. Ilhan Omar's in late April, though recent Republican criticism of her budget votes against surplus rebates and intra-party electability attacks from Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez (10%) underscore risks in the crowded field. With February polls showing Barnes and Hong leading amid high undecideds and no fresh surveys, traders anticipate debates and fundraising could shift dynamics ahead of the primary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМандела Барнс 54%
Франческа Хонг 33.0%
Сара Родригес 12%
Дэвид Кроули 2.7%
$56,356 Объем
$56,356 Объем
Мандела Барнс
54%
Франческа Хонг
33%
Сара Родригес
12%
Дэвид Кроули
3%
Закари Ропер
1%
Крис Ларсон
1%
Джоэл Бреннан
<1%
Келда Ройс
<1%
Тим Джейкобсон
<1%
Мелисса Агард
<1%
Том Нельсон
<1%
Мисси Хьюз
<1%
Бретт Халси
<1%
Мандела Барнс 54%
Франческа Хонг 33.0%
Сара Родригес 12%
Дэвид Кроули 2.7%
$56,356 Объем
$56,356 Объем
Мандела Барнс
54%
Франческа Хонг
33%
Сара Родригес
12%
Дэвид Кроули
3%
Закари Ропер
1%
Крис Ларсон
1%
Джоэл Бреннан
<1%
Келда Ройс
<1%
Тим Джейкобсон
<1%
Мелисса Агард
<1%
Том Нельсон
<1%
Мисси Хьюз
<1%
Бретт Халси
<1%
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes at 54% implied probability to win the August 11 Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor, driven by his strong statewide name recognition from the 2019–2023 lieutenant governorship and competitive 2022 U.S. Senate campaign. State Rep. Francesca Hong trails at 33%, buoyed by grassroots progressive support and endorsements like Rep. Ilhan Omar's in late April, though recent Republican criticism of her budget votes against surplus rebates and intra-party electability attacks from Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez (10%) underscore risks in the crowded field. With February polls showing Barnes and Hong leading amid high undecideds and no fresh surveys, traders anticipate debates and fundraising could shift dynamics ahead of the primary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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