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Победитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-07?

icon for Победитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-07?

Победитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-07?

Да

98% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Да

98% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-07 House election.**Incumbent Rich McCormick holds a strong position in Georgia’s 7th congressional district, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report with an R+11 partisan voting index.** This lean, combined with McCormick’s prior general-election margin above 64 percent and unopposed or easy advancement through the May 19 Republican primary, underpins trader expectations that he will exceed 50 percent against Democratic nominee Tony Kozycki on November 3. Kozycki emerged from a June 16 Democratic runoff after finishing first in the May 19 primary with roughly 40 percent. With only two major-party candidates on the general-election ballot and no significant third-party or independent contenders reported, the race functions as a head-to-head contest in a district where Republican performance has consistently produced comfortable majorities. The 98.4 percent implied probability for an outright winner reflects this structural and historical advantage. Late developments that could still alter the outcome remain low-probability but include an unforeseen national political shift, major candidate-specific scandal, or unusually depressed Republican turnout; absent such events, the district’s partisan composition and limited field make a runoff unlikely.

The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-07 House election.
Объем
$1,054
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-07 House election.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-07 House election.**Incumbent Rich McCormick holds a strong position in Georgia’s 7th congressional district, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report with an R+11 partisan voting index.** This lean, combined with McCormick’s prior general-election margin above 64 percent and unopposed or easy advancement through the May 19 Republican primary, underpins trader expectations that he will exceed 50 percent against Democratic nominee Tony Kozycki on November 3. Kozycki emerged from a June 16 Democratic runoff after finishing first in the May 19 primary with roughly 40 percent. With only two major-party candidates on the general-election ballot and no significant third-party or independent contenders reported, the race functions as a head-to-head contest in a district where Republican performance has consistently produced comfortable majorities. The 98.4 percent implied probability for an outright winner reflects this structural and historical advantage. Late developments that could still alter the outcome remain low-probability but include an unforeseen national political shift, major candidate-specific scandal, or unusually depressed Republican turnout; absent such events, the district’s partisan composition and limited field make a runoff unlikely.

The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-07 House election.
Объем
$1,054
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-07 House election.

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