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Politics·Primary Elections

WA-04 Primary Winners

icon for WA-04 Primary Winners
Politics·Primary Elections

WA-04 Primary Winners

НОВОЕ
4 авг. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$237 Объем

Polymarket

Matt Boehnke

$52 Объем

69%

Amanda McKinney

$0 Объем

57%

John Duresky

$0 Объем

48%

Jerrod Sessler

$0 Объем

47%

Favian Valencia

$50 Объем

47%

Devin Pooré

$40 Объем

45%

Zac Rossi

$55 Объем

45%

Elpidia Saavedra

$18 Объем

45%

John Hughs

$0 Объем

45%

Carmen Black

$0 Объем

45%

Ken Vaz

$0 Объем

45%

Jack Kobiesa

$22 Объем

44%

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-04 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Washington’s 4th Congressional District features an open-seat top-two primary on August 4, 2026, after incumbent Republican Dan Newhouse opted not to seek re-election. Eleven candidates have filed, dominated by Republicans including state Senator Matt Boehnke, Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney—who leads early fundraising—and others such as Jerrod Sessler. Democrat John Duresky is the main non-Republican contender in the solidly Republican district. Washington’s jungle primary advances the two highest vote-getters regardless of party, so Republican vote fragmentation and candidate positioning on endorsements and resources will determine which contenders advance to the November general election. No primary-specific polling has surfaced recently.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-04 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Объем
$237
Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-04 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-04 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Washington’s 4th Congressional District features an open-seat top-two primary on August 4, 2026, after incumbent Republican Dan Newhouse opted not to seek re-election. Eleven candidates have filed, dominated by Republicans including state Senator Matt Boehnke, Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney—who leads early fundraising—and others such as Jerrod Sessler. Democrat John Duresky is the main non-Republican contender in the solidly Republican district. Washington’s jungle primary advances the two highest vote-getters regardless of party, so Republican vote fragmentation and candidate positioning on endorsements and resources will determine which contenders advance to the November general election. No primary-specific polling has surfaced recently.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-04 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Объем
$237
Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-04 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«WA-04 Primary Winners» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 12 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Matt Boehnke» с 69%, за ним следует «Amanda McKinney» с 57%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 69¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 69%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«WA-04 Primary Winners» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jul 6, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «WA-04 Primary Winners», просмотри 12 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «WA-04 Primary Winners» — «Matt Boehnke» с 69%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 69%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Amanda McKinney» с 57%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «WA-04 Primary Winners» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.