Trader consensus in the FL-23 Democratic primary reflects a tight contest between incumbent Jared Moskowitz at 36% and challenger Oliver Larkin at 35.5%, driven by an ideological divide appealing to the district's diverse Broward and Palm Beach County voters. Moskowitz holds an edge from incumbency, strong Q1 fundraising, and establishment support amid AIPAC backing and his moderate "Ron DeSantis Democrat" profile, but Larkin's progressive surge—fueled by recent Democratic Socialists of America, Progressive Change Campaign Committee, and Progressive Democrats of America endorsements, plus a May 7 American Prospect profile highlighting criticisms of Moskowitz's pro-Israel stance, stock trading, and lack of town halls—has narrowed the gap since a March poll showing Moskowitz at 45% to Larkin's 11%. Separation could emerge from Q2 fundraising disclosures, major endorsements, debates, or new polls ahead of the August 18 primary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$20,872 Объем
$20,872 Объем
18 авг. 2026 г.
Джаред Московиц
36%
Оливер Адамс Ларкин
35%
$20,872 Объем
$20,872 Объем
18 авг. 2026 г.
Джаред Московиц
$9,647 Объем
36%
Оливер Адамс Ларкин
$11,224 Объем
35%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the FL-23 Democratic primary reflects a tight contest between incumbent Jared Moskowitz at 36% and challenger Oliver Larkin at 35.5%, driven by an ideological divide appealing to the district's diverse Broward and Palm Beach County voters. Moskowitz holds an edge from incumbency, strong Q1 fundraising, and establishment support amid AIPAC backing and his moderate "Ron DeSantis Democrat" profile, but Larkin's progressive surge—fueled by recent Democratic Socialists of America, Progressive Change Campaign Committee, and Progressive Democrats of America endorsements, plus a May 7 American Prospect profile highlighting criticisms of Moskowitz's pro-Israel stance, stock trading, and lack of town halls—has narrowed the gap since a March poll showing Moskowitz at 45% to Larkin's 11%. Separation could emerge from Q2 fundraising disclosures, major endorsements, debates, or new polls ahead of the August 18 primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET
Объем
$20,872Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the FL-23 Democratic primary reflects a tight contest between incumbent Jared Moskowitz at 36% and challenger Oliver Larkin at 35.5%, driven by an ideological divide appealing to the district's diverse Broward and Palm Beach County voters. Moskowitz holds an edge from incumbency, strong Q1 fundraising, and establishment support amid AIPAC backing and his moderate "Ron DeSantis Democrat" profile, but Larkin's progressive surge—fueled by recent Democratic Socialists of America, Progressive Change Campaign Committee, and Progressive Democrats of America endorsements, plus a May 7 American Prospect profile highlighting criticisms of Moskowitz's pro-Israel stance, stock trading, and lack of town halls—has narrowed the gap since a March poll showing Moskowitz at 45% to Larkin's 11%. Separation could emerge from Q2 fundraising disclosures, major endorsements, debates, or new polls ahead of the August 18 primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$20,872Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the FL-23 Democratic primary reflects a tight contest between incumbent Jared Moskowitz at 36% and challenger Oliver Larkin at 35.5%, driven by an ideological divide appealing to the district's diverse Broward and Palm Beach County voters. Moskowitz holds an edge from incumbency, strong Q1 fundraising, and establishment support amid AIPAC backing and his moderate "Ron DeSantis Democrat" profile, but Larkin's progressive surge—fueled by recent Democratic Socialists of America, Progressive Change Campaign Committee, and Progressive Democrats of America endorsements, plus a May 7 American Prospect profile highlighting criticisms of Moskowitz's pro-Israel stance, stock trading, and lack of town halls—has narrowed the gap since a March poll showing Moskowitz at 45% to Larkin's 11%. Separation could emerge from Q2 fundraising disclosures, major endorsements, debates, or new polls ahead of the August 18 primary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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