Alaska’s August 18 top-four primary features 17 candidates for an open seat, as term-limited incumbent Mike Dunleavy cannot run again. The nonpartisan blanket primary advances the four highest vote-getters to a ranked-choice general election regardless of party affiliation. Recent polls, including surveys from April through July 2026, consistently place former state Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich (D) in the lead, followed by a cluster of Republicans—Bernadette Wilson, Dave Bronson, and Click Bishop—along with Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins. With early voting underway and a crowded field, support fragmentation among Republicans and potential vote splitting between the two leading Democrats represent key variables that could determine which candidates clear the threshold in the final days.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$254,737 Объем

Том Бегич
100%

Бернадетт Уилсон
92%

Джонатан Крейсс-Томкинс
81%

Дейв Бронсон
55%

Трег Тейлор
29%

Клик Бишоп
26%

Билл Уокер
18%

Адам Крам
9%

Лесил МакГуайр
13%

Эдна ДеВрис
3%

Шелли Хьюз
2%

Джессика Фэйрклот
2%

Мэтт Хейлала
1%

Брюс Уолден
1%

Мэтт Кламан
1%

Хэнк Кролл
1%

Дестри Дж. Пейн-старший
1%

Грегг Брелсфорд
<1%

Нэнси Дальстром
<1%

Джеймс Паркин
<1%
$254,737 Объем

Том Бегич
100%

Бернадетт Уилсон
92%

Джонатан Крейсс-Томкинс
81%

Дейв Бронсон
55%

Трег Тейлор
29%

Клик Бишоп
26%

Билл Уокер
18%

Адам Крам
9%

Лесил МакГуайр
13%

Эдна ДеВрис
3%

Шелли Хьюз
2%

Джессика Фэйрклот
2%

Мэтт Хейлала
1%

Брюс Уолден
1%

Мэтт Кламан
1%

Хэнк Кролл
1%

Дестри Дж. Пейн-старший
1%

Грегг Брелсфорд
<1%

Нэнси Дальстром
<1%

Джеймс Паркин
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Открытие рынка: Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Alaska’s August 18 top-four primary features 17 candidates for an open seat, as term-limited incumbent Mike Dunleavy cannot run again. The nonpartisan blanket primary advances the four highest vote-getters to a ranked-choice general election regardless of party affiliation. Recent polls, including surveys from April through July 2026, consistently place former state Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich (D) in the lead, followed by a cluster of Republicans—Bernadette Wilson, Dave Bronson, and Click Bishop—along with Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins. With early voting underway and a crowded field, support fragmentation among Republicans and potential vote splitting between the two leading Democrats represent key variables that could determine which candidates clear the threshold in the final days.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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