Lisa Demuth secured the Republican nomination for Minnesota governor in the August 11, 2026 primary with roughly 43% of the vote against Mike Lindell’s 33% and Kendall Qualls’ 21%, producing an 11-point margin over the nearest rival that aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward a double-digit Demuth victory. State House Speaker Demuth benefited from broad party institutional support and higher name recognition among Republican primary voters, while Lindell’s Trump endorsement failed to overcome those advantages in final tallies. Lindell has not conceded and has raised questions about vote irregularities, yet nearly complete counts leave little room for reversal. Remaining certification steps or successful legal challenges could theoretically narrow the spread, though such outcomes remain remote given the scale of the reported lead.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоDemuth 10%+ 97.5%
Demuth 5–10% 2.4%
Lindell 20–25% 1.8%
Lindell 15–20% 1.7%
$773 Объем
$773 Объем
11 авг. 2026 г.
Линделл 25%+
2%
Lindell 20–25%
2%
Lindell 15–20%
2%
Lindell 10–15%
1%
Lindell 5–10%
2%
Lindell <5%
1%
Demuth <5%
1%
Demuth 5–10%
2%
Demuth 10%+
98%
Demuth 10%+ 97.5%
Demuth 5–10% 2.4%
Lindell 20–25% 1.8%
Lindell 15–20% 1.7%
$773 Объем
$773 Объем
11 авг. 2026 г.
Линделл 25%+
$57 Объем
2%
Lindell 20–25%
$37 Объем
2%
Lindell 15–20%
$37 Объем
2%
Lindell 10–15%
$172 Объем
1%
Lindell 5–10%
$17 Объем
2%
Lindell <5%
$217 Объем
1%
Demuth <5%
$217 Объем
1%
Demuth 5–10%
$0 Объем
2%
Demuth 10%+
$19 Объем
98%
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Lisa Demuth secured the Republican nomination for Minnesota governor in the August 11, 2026 primary with roughly 43% of the vote against Mike Lindell’s 33% and Kendall Qualls’ 21%, producing an 11-point margin over the nearest rival that aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward a double-digit Demuth victory. State House Speaker Demuth benefited from broad party institutional support and higher name recognition among Republican primary voters, while Lindell’s Trump endorsement failed to overcome those advantages in final tallies. Lindell has not conceded and has raised questions about vote irregularities, yet nearly complete counts leave little room for reversal. Remaining certification steps or successful legal challenges could theoretically narrow the spread, though such outcomes remain remote given the scale of the reported lead.
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Открытие рынка: Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
Объем
$773Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Lisa Demuth secured the Republican nomination for Minnesota governor in the August 11, 2026 primary with roughly 43% of the vote against Mike Lindell’s 33% and Kendall Qualls’ 21%, producing an 11-point margin over the nearest rival that aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward a double-digit Demuth victory. State House Speaker Demuth benefited from broad party institutional support and higher name recognition among Republican primary voters, while Lindell’s Trump endorsement failed to overcome those advantages in final tallies. Lindell has not conceded and has raised questions about vote irregularities, yet nearly complete counts leave little room for reversal. Remaining certification steps or successful legal challenges could theoretically narrow the spread, though such outcomes remain remote given the scale of the reported lead.
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Объем
$773Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lisa Demuth secured the Republican nomination for Minnesota governor in the August 11, 2026 primary with roughly 43% of the vote against Mike Lindell’s 33% and Kendall Qualls’ 21%, producing an 11-point margin over the nearest rival that aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward a double-digit Demuth victory. State House Speaker Demuth benefited from broad party institutional support and higher name recognition among Republican primary voters, while Lindell’s Trump endorsement failed to overcome those advantages in final tallies. Lindell has not conceded and has raised questions about vote irregularities, yet nearly complete counts leave little room for reversal. Remaining certification steps or successful legal challenges could theoretically narrow the spread, though such outcomes remain remote given the scale of the reported lead.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
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