The crowded field of more than 15 candidates for the October 4, 2026, Trujillo provincial mayoral election keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered, with no entrant exceeding roughly 35% in the most recent August polling. Incumbent Mario Reyna Rodríguez of Alianza para el Progreso holds the narrowest lead in voter intention surveys, followed closely by Roy Arbaiza Corcuera, Luis Zavala Espino, and several others in single digits. Fragmentation across parties including Somos Perú, APP, and newer groupings limits any frontrunner’s consolidation of support ahead of the vote. Trader positioning reflects the absence of decisive late-campaign momentum or withdrawals that could consolidate preferences before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРой Чарли Арбаиса Коркуэра 32%
Виктор Роберт Де Ла Крус Росас 23%
Вилмар Альфредо Морено Фуэнтес 15%
Бенхамин Кальхет Рейес Ребаса 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
Рой Чарли Арбаиса Коркуэра
32%
Виктор Роберт Де Ла Крус Росас
23%
Вилмар Альфредо Морено Фуэнтес
15%
Бенхамин Кальхет Рейес Ребаса
14%
Виктор Альфонсо Кастаньеда Каррера
11%
Альфредо Мануэль Галиндо Перальта
9%
Хосе Родар Миранда Прадо
9%
Мильтон Марселино Рамирес Эррера
8%
Карлос Энрике Альва Рохас
11%
Вíктор Хулио Леон Альварес
22%
Хесус Альверто Веласкес Рейна
6%
Гейли Кэтэриин Тирадо Рафаэль
6%
Марио Колберт Рейна Родригес
6%
Рауль Эдгардо Алдана Диосес
5%
Хосе Мария Альберто Арсила Коралес
5%
Луис Анхель Завала Эспино
27%
Рой Чарли Арбаиса Коркуэра 32%
Виктор Роберт Де Ла Крус Росас 23%
Вилмар Альфредо Морено Фуэнтес 15%
Бенхамин Кальхет Рейес Ребаса 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
Рой Чарли Арбаиса Коркуэра
$137 Объем
32%
Виктор Роберт Де Ла Крус Росас
$101 Объем
23%
Вилмар Альфредо Морено Фуэнтес
$79 Объем
15%
Бенхамин Кальхет Рейес Ребаса
$79 Объем
14%
Виктор Альфонсо Кастаньеда Каррера
$96 Объем
11%
Альфредо Мануэль Галиндо Перальта
$79 Объем
9%
Хосе Родар Миранда Прадо
$79 Объем
9%
Мильтон Марселино Рамирес Эррера
$140 Объем
8%
Карлос Энрике Альва Рохас
$450 Объем
11%
Вíктор Хулио Леон Альварес
$82 Объем
22%
Хесус Альверто Веласкес Рейна
$79 Объем
6%
Гейли Кэтэриин Тирадо Рафаэль
$99 Объем
6%
Марио Колберт Рейна Родригес
$108 Объем
6%
Рауль Эдгардо Алдана Диосес
$79 Объем
5%
Хосе Мария Альберто Арсила Коралес
$114 Объем
5%
Луис Анхель Завала Эспино
$90 Объем
27%
The 2026 Trujillo, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Trujillo as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The crowded field of more than 15 candidates for the October 4, 2026, Trujillo provincial mayoral election keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered, with no entrant exceeding roughly 35% in the most recent August polling. Incumbent Mario Reyna Rodríguez of Alianza para el Progreso holds the narrowest lead in voter intention surveys, followed closely by Roy Arbaiza Corcuera, Luis Zavala Espino, and several others in single digits. Fragmentation across parties including Somos Perú, APP, and newer groupings limits any frontrunner’s consolidation of support ahead of the vote. Trader positioning reflects the absence of decisive late-campaign momentum or withdrawals that could consolidate preferences before election day.
The 2026 Trujillo, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Trujillo as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Trujillo as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
Объем
$1,891Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Trujillo, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Trujillo as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The crowded field of more than 15 candidates for the October 4, 2026, Trujillo provincial mayoral election keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered, with no entrant exceeding roughly 35% in the most recent August polling. Incumbent Mario Reyna Rodríguez of Alianza para el Progreso holds the narrowest lead in voter intention surveys, followed closely by Roy Arbaiza Corcuera, Luis Zavala Espino, and several others in single digits. Fragmentation across parties including Somos Perú, APP, and newer groupings limits any frontrunner’s consolidation of support ahead of the vote. Trader positioning reflects the absence of decisive late-campaign momentum or withdrawals that could consolidate preferences before election day.
The 2026 Trujillo, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Trujillo as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Trujillo as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Объем
$1,891Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The crowded field of more than 15 candidates for the October 4, 2026, Trujillo provincial mayoral election keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered, with no entrant exceeding roughly 35% in the most recent August polling. Incumbent Mario Reyna Rodríguez of Alianza para el Progreso holds the narrowest lead in voter intention surveys, followed closely by Roy Arbaiza Corcuera, Luis Zavala Espino, and several others in single digits. Fragmentation across parties including Somos Perú, APP, and newer groupings limits any frontrunner’s consolidation of support ahead of the vote. Trader positioning reflects the absence of decisive late-campaign momentum or withdrawals that could consolidate preferences before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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