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Elections·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Elections·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$150,061 Объем

17 апр. 2027 г.
Polymarket

$150,061 Объем

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$6,705 Объем

96%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$10,219 Объем

86%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$5,180 Объем

83%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$2,397 Объем

80%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$2,796 Объем

76%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$6,769 Объем

76%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$2,615 Объем

69%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$5,209 Объем

53%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$576 Объем

54%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$5,291 Объем

46%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$5,821 Объем

42%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$4,631 Объем

41%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$1,569 Объем

34%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$979 Объем

34%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$4,695 Объем

30%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$2,338 Объем

24%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$3,723 Объем

19%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$4,565 Объем

19%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$2,896 Объем

14%

icon for Matthieu Pigasse

Matthieu Pigasse

$10,183 Объем

13%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$350 Объем

10%

icon for Michel-Edouard Leclerc

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

$1,621 Объем

9%

icon for Philippe de Villiers

Philippe de Villiers

$2,385 Объем

9%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$2,250 Объем

9%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$1,756 Объем

8%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$2,539 Объем

8%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$1,265 Объем

8%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$3,408 Объем

7%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$2,842 Объем

7%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$1,742 Объем

7%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$2,727 Объем

7%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$1,642 Объем

7%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$1,557 Объем

7%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$4,748 Объем

6%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$743 Объем

5%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,576 Объем

4%

icon for Bally Bagayoko

Bally Bagayoko

$1,258 Объем

4%

icon for Manuel Valls

Manuel Valls

$972 Объем

4%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$999 Объем

4%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$19,686 Объем

3%

icon for Teddy Riner

Teddy Riner

$352 Объем

3%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$478 Объем

3%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$345 Объем

3%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$970 Объем

2%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$2,102 Объем

2%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$590 Объем

2%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling at around 32-34 percent and is widely viewed as the frontrunner for his party's nomination, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his La France Insoumise candidacy in early May and appears likely to qualify.** Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also declared, splitting the center-right and Macronist vote, and Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' endorsement in April. Marine Le Pen's July 7 appeal against her embezzlement conviction and potential office ban remains the key near-term catalyst that could determine whether Bardella or Le Pen represents the far right. A fragmented left, including an October primary, raises the bar for additional qualifiers, and traders weigh these developments against the need for 500 elected signatures and party consolidation ahead of the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$150,061
Дата окончания
17 апр. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling at around 32-34 percent and is widely viewed as the frontrunner for his party's nomination, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his La France Insoumise candidacy in early May and appears likely to qualify.** Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also declared, splitting the center-right and Macronist vote, and Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' endorsement in April. Marine Le Pen's July 7 appeal against her embezzlement conviction and potential office ban remains the key near-term catalyst that could determine whether Bardella or Le Pen represents the far right. A fragmented left, including an October primary, raises the bar for additional qualifiers, and traders weigh these developments against the need for 500 elected signatures and party consolidation ahead of the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$150,061
Дата окончания
17 апр. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Текущий фаворит для «2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?» — «Jean-Luc Mélenchon» с 96%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 96%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Édouard Philippe» с 86%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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