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Выборы·Франция

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Выборы·Франция

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$53,067 Объем

17 апр. 2027 г.
Polymarket

$53,067 Объем

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$3,570 Объем

89%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$3,429 Объем

88%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$2,076 Объем

84%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$2,974 Объем

74%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$468 Объем

69%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$895 Объем

54%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$818 Объем

56%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$1,615 Объем

47%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$2,305 Объем

55%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$1,292 Объем

51%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$2,066 Объем

50%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$2,067 Объем

42%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$81 Объем

40%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$1,419 Объем

40%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$1,194 Объем

39%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$1,346 Объем

28%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$2,104 Объем

27%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$395 Объем

16%

icon for Матье Пигас

Матье Пигас

$4,357 Объем

18%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$108 Объем

26%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$688 Объем

17%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$441 Объем

15%

icon for Жюан Бранко

Жюан Бранко

$1,751 Объем

14%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$747 Объем

12%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$596 Объем

11%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$998 Объем

10%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$767 Объем

10%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$1,488 Объем

15%

icon for Мишель-Эдуар ЛеКлерк

Мишель-Эдуар ЛеКлерк

$1,151 Объем

9%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$222 Объем

9%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$161 Объем

9%

icon for Филипп де Вилье

Филипп де Вилье

$691 Объем

8%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$496 Объем

7%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$863 Объем

7%

icon for Мануэль Вальс

Мануэль Вальс

$350 Объем

6%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$1,034 Объем

6%

icon for Балли Багаёко

Балли Багаёко

$1,099 Объем

6%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$139 Объем

6%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$252 Объем

5%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,573 Объем

4%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$343 Объем

4%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$952 Объем

4%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$477 Объем

4%

icon for Тедди Ринер

Тедди Ринер

$148 Объем

3%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$795 Объем

3%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$275 Объем

56%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 French presidential election, scheduled for April with a possible runoff two weeks later, features a crowded field shaped by term limits on Emmanuel Macron and ongoing legal proceedings. Marine Le Pen’s potential disqualification hinges on a Paris Court of Appeals ruling expected July 7, 2026, in her embezzlement case; an upheld five-year ban would likely clear the path for National Rally leader Jordan Bardella. Jean-Luc Mélenchon formally entered the race in early May 2026 as the La France Insoumise candidate, while Bruno Retailleau secured the Republicans nomination in April and Édouard Philippe continues to lead centrist polling scenarios. These developments, alongside fragmented left-wing coalitions and recent municipal election results, underpin trader assessments of first-round ballot access and runoff pairings.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$53,067
Дата окончания
17 апр. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 French presidential election, scheduled for April with a possible runoff two weeks later, features a crowded field shaped by term limits on Emmanuel Macron and ongoing legal proceedings. Marine Le Pen’s potential disqualification hinges on a Paris Court of Appeals ruling expected July 7, 2026, in her embezzlement case; an upheld five-year ban would likely clear the path for National Rally leader Jordan Bardella. Jean-Luc Mélenchon formally entered the race in early May 2026 as the La France Insoumise candidate, while Bruno Retailleau secured the Republicans nomination in April and Édouard Philippe continues to lead centrist polling scenarios. These developments, alongside fragmented left-wing coalitions and recent municipal election results, underpin trader assessments of first-round ballot access and runoff pairings.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$53,067
Дата окончания
17 апр. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

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«2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 46+ возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Jean-Luc Mélenchon» с 89%, за ним следует «Édouard Philippe» с 88%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 89¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 89%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

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Текущий фаворит для «2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?» — «Jean-Luc Mélenchon» с 89%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 89%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Édouard Philippe» с 88%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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