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icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Политика·Выборы во Франции

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Политика·Выборы во Франции

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

$83,823 Объем

30 апр. 2027 г.
Polymarket

$83,823 Объем

Polymarket
icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$8,848 Объем

87%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$1,812 Объем

52%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$5,423 Объем

39%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$1,620 Объем

10%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$4,711 Объем

8%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$17,470 Объем

8%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$1,083 Объем

7%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$58 Объем

7%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$466 Объем

6%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$638 Объем

6%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$129 Объем

5%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$251 Объем

5%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$643 Объем

4%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$1,127 Объем

4%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$1,114 Объем

4%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$3,254 Объем

4%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$1,908 Объем

3%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$829 Объем

3%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$631 Объем

3%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$2,349 Объем

3%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$4,774 Объем

2%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$2,043 Объем

2%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$1,825 Объем

2%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$1,768 Объем

2%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$1,111 Объем

2%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$2,659 Объем

2%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$1,005 Объем

2%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$1,147 Объем

1%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,559 Объем

1%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$2,962 Объем

1%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$1,537 Объем

1%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$1,230 Объем

1%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$1,286 Объем

1%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$1,613 Объем

<1%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$2,807 Объем

<1%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$23 Объем

44%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Marine Le Pen of the National Rally maintains a commanding lead in first-round polling for France’s April 2027 presidential election, typically at 35-37 percent, positioning her as the near-certain qualifier for the runoff under the two-round system. A July 2026 appeals court ruling upheld her embezzlement conviction but shortened the ineligibility period, clearing her candidacy and prompting fresh surveys that reinforced her advantage. The fragmented field leaves the second spot contested, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise rising toward 13-16 percent on the left while center-right figures such as Édouard Philippe poll in a similar range; Gabriel Attal and others trail further behind. With Macron constitutionally barred from seeking a third term, the crowded field of declared candidates heightens uncertainty over which non-RN contender consolidates enough support to advance.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Объем
$83,823
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Marine Le Pen of the National Rally maintains a commanding lead in first-round polling for France’s April 2027 presidential election, typically at 35-37 percent, positioning her as the near-certain qualifier for the runoff under the two-round system. A July 2026 appeals court ruling upheld her embezzlement conviction but shortened the ineligibility period, clearing her candidacy and prompting fresh surveys that reinforced her advantage. The fragmented field leaves the second spot contested, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise rising toward 13-16 percent on the left while center-right figures such as Édouard Philippe poll in a similar range; Gabriel Attal and others trail further behind. With Macron constitutionally barred from seeking a third term, the crowded field of declared candidates heightens uncertainty over which non-RN contender consolidates enough support to advance.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Объем
$83,823
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Связанные

icon for победит ли Марин Ле Пен на выборах президента Франции 2027 года?

победит ли Марин Ле Пен на выборах президента Франции 2027 года?

32%
Да
icon for Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

95%
icon for Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

77%

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 36 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Marine Le Pen» с 87%, за ним следует «Édouard Philippe» с 52%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 87¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 87%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $83.8K с момента запуска рынка Jun 1, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?», просмотри 36 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?» — «Marine Le Pen» с 87%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 87%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Édouard Philippe» с 52%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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