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Политика·Выборы во Франции

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Политика·Выборы во Франции

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

НОВОЕ
30 апр. 2027 г.
Polymarket

$3,925 Объем

Polymarket
icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$232 Объем

16%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$831 Объем

69%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$60 Объем

5%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$181 Объем

45%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$15 Объем

5%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$164 Объем

4%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$55 Объем

3%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$126 Объем

4%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$0 Объем

16%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$200 Объем

8%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$21 Объем

6%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$25 Объем

14%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$354 Объем

46%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$10 Объем

4%

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Fabien Roussel

$100 Объем

4%

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Olivier Faure

$83 Объем

2%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$54 Объем

7%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$74 Объем

4%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$208 Объем

4%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$105 Объем

1%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$0 Объем

3%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$57 Объем

3%

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Valérie Pécresse

$57 Объем

3%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$12 Объем

3%

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Élisabeth Borne

$50 Объем

4%

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Yaël Braun-Pivet

$85 Объем

3%

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Jean Castex

$152 Объем

4%

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Gérald Darmanin

$50 Объем

6%

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Carole Delga

$71 Объем

4%

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Bernard Cazeneuve

$56 Объем

6%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$50 Объем

4%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$50 Объем

3%

icon for Other

Other

$92 Объем

33%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$38 Объем

4%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$121 Объем

3%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$81 Объем

4%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$6 Объем

4%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling for the April 2027 French presidential election by a wide margin, positioning the far-right candidate as the near-certain qualifier for the runoff amid ongoing polarization. Recent municipal elections reinforced gains for both the National Rally and La France Insoumise, while the center and moderate left remain fragmented across multiple contenders including Édouard Philippe, Gabriel Attal, and various Socialist or ecologist figures. Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s confirmed candidacy has boosted far-left support in some surveys, creating uncertainty over the second-round spot. Marine Le Pen’s July 2026 appeal ruling on her ineligibility ban could further solidify Bardella’s role, with trader consensus reflecting these polling trends and limited signs of mainstream consolidation before the vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Объем
$3,925
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling for the April 2027 French presidential election by a wide margin, positioning the far-right candidate as the near-certain qualifier for the runoff amid ongoing polarization. Recent municipal elections reinforced gains for both the National Rally and La France Insoumise, while the center and moderate left remain fragmented across multiple contenders including Édouard Philippe, Gabriel Attal, and various Socialist or ecologist figures. Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s confirmed candidacy has boosted far-left support in some surveys, creating uncertainty over the second-round spot. Marine Le Pen’s July 2026 appeal ruling on her ineligibility ban could further solidify Bardella’s role, with trader consensus reflecting these polling trends and limited signs of mainstream consolidation before the vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Объем
$3,925
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 37 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Jordan Bardella» с 69%, за ним следует «Jean-Luc Mélenchon» с 46%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 69¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 69%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jun 1, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?», просмотри 37 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?» — «Jordan Bardella» с 69%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 69%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Jean-Luc Mélenchon» с 46%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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