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Политика·Бразилия

Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 2-е место

icon for Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 2-е место
Политика·Бразилия

Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 2-е место

Флавио Болсонару 83%

Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва 9.3%

Ренан Сантос 7.3%

Роналду Кайаду <1%

Polymarket

$4,672,406 Объем

Флавио Болсонару 83%

Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва 9.3%

Ренан Сантос 7.3%

Роналду Кайаду <1%

Polymarket

$4,672,406 Объем

icon for Флавио Болсонару

Флавио Болсонару

$260,696 Объем

83%

icon for Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва

Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва

$249,664 Объем

9%

icon for Ренан Сантос

Ренан Сантос

$1,106,220 Объем

7%

icon for Роналду Кайаду

Роналду Кайаду

$355,035 Объем

1%

icon for Ромеу Зема

Ромеу Зема

$302,660 Объем

<1%

icon for Фернандо Хаддад

Фернандо Хаддад

$703,205 Объем

<1%

icon for Мишель Болсонару

Мишель Болсонару

$135,046 Объем

<1%

icon for Жаир Болсонару

Жаир Болсонару

$130,231 Объем

<1%

icon for Камилу Сантана

Камилу Сантана

$105,726 Объем

<1%

icon for Эдуардо Болсонару

Эдуардо Болсонару

$102,665 Объем

<1%

icon for Альдо Ребело

Альдо Ребело

$63,521 Объем

<1%

icon for Тарсисио ди Фрейтас

Тарсисио ди Фрейтас

$199,059 Объем

<1%

icon for Ратиньо Жуниор

Ратиньо Жуниор

$674,411 Объем

<1%

icon for Жералду Алкмин

Жералду Алкмин

$155,418 Объем

<1%

icon for Эдуарду Лейте

Эдуарду Лейте

$72,371 Объем

<1%

icon for Хелдер Барбалью

Хелдер Барбалью

$20,972 Объем

<1%

icon for Тереза Кристина

Тереза Кристина

$35,504 Объем

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polls ahead of Brazil’s October 4 first round consistently place incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva first with 38–42 percent support, followed by Senator Flávio Bolsonaro at 31–35 percent. Other right-leaning candidates, including Renan Santos and Ronaldo Caiado, remain in the low single digits. This structure underpins trader consensus that Flávio Bolsonaro will finish second. Flávio consolidated the Liberal Party nomination and received his father Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsement, channeling much of the right-wing vote despite earlier June audio leaks and a brief family rift that later reconciled. Lula’s re-election bid benefits from incumbency and targeted economic measures, keeping his lead stable. Fragmented support among remaining contenders limits any realistic path for Santos or others to overtake Flávio before the first-round ballot. Resolution depends on official first-round vote tallies.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Объем
$4,672,406
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polls ahead of Brazil’s October 4 first round consistently place incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva first with 38–42 percent support, followed by Senator Flávio Bolsonaro at 31–35 percent. Other right-leaning candidates, including Renan Santos and Ronaldo Caiado, remain in the low single digits. This structure underpins trader consensus that Flávio Bolsonaro will finish second. Flávio consolidated the Liberal Party nomination and received his father Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsement, channeling much of the right-wing vote despite earlier June audio leaks and a brief family rift that later reconciled. Lula’s re-election bid benefits from incumbency and targeted economic measures, keeping his lead stable. Fragmented support among remaining contenders limits any realistic path for Santos or others to overtake Flávio before the first-round ballot. Resolution depends on official first-round vote tallies.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Объем
$4,672,406
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Связанные

icon for Займёт ли Ренан Сантос третье место в первом туре президентских выборов в Бразилии в 2026 году?

Займёт ли Ренан Сантос третье место в первом туре президентских выборов в Бразилии в 2026 году?

59%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva президентские выборы в Бразилии 2026 года?

Выиграет ли Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva президентские выборы в Бразилии 2026 года?

66%
Да
icon for Победит ли какой-либо кандидат в президенты сразу в первом туре выборов в Бразилии?

Победит ли какой-либо кандидат в президенты сразу в первом туре выборов в Бразилии?

14%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 2-е место» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 17 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Флавио Болсонару» с 83%, за ним следует «Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва» с 9%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 83¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 83%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 2-е место» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $4.7 million с момента запуска рынка Feb 11, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 2-е место», просмотри 17 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 2-е место» — «Флавио Болсонару» с 83%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 83%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва» с 9%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 2-е место» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.