Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader pricing for second place in Brazil’s October 2026 first-round presidential vote because recent national polls show him consolidating the right-wing vote behind his father’s endorsement while trailing incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by only a few points. May 2026 surveys from Quaest and Ideia place Lula near 39 percent and Flávio near 33 percent, with Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos each below 6 percent in a fragmented field. Lula’s modest first-round advantage stems from his base and economic messaging, yet the absence of other major right-wing challengers keeps Flávio positioned to finish second absent late consolidation or a major shift in voter turnout among centrist or conservative blocs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоФлавио Болсонару 60%
Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва 15%
Ренан Сантос 6.6%
Мишель Болсонару 5.6%
$3,517,999 Объем
$3,517,999 Объем

Флавио Болсонару
60%

Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва
15%

Ренан Сантос
7%

Мишель Болсонару
6%

Ромеу Зема
5%

Тереза Кристина
4%

Фернандо Хаддад
3%

Камилу Сантана
1%

Жералду Алкмин
1%

Роналду Кайаду
1%

Тарсисио ди Фрейтас
<1%

Ратиньо Жуниор
<1%

Альдо Ребело
<1%

Эдуардо Болсонару
<1%

Хелдер Барбалью
<1%

Жаир Болсонару
<1%

Эдуарду Лейте
<1%
Флавио Болсонару 60%
Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва 15%
Ренан Сантос 6.6%
Мишель Болсонару 5.6%
$3,517,999 Объем
$3,517,999 Объем

Флавио Болсонару
60%

Луиз Инасиу Лула да Силва
15%

Ренан Сантос
7%

Мишель Болсонару
6%

Ромеу Зема
5%

Тереза Кристина
4%

Фернандо Хаддад
3%

Камилу Сантана
1%

Жералду Алкмин
1%

Роналду Кайаду
1%

Тарсисио ди Фрейтас
<1%

Ратиньо Жуниор
<1%

Альдо Ребело
<1%

Эдуардо Болсонару
<1%

Хелдер Барбалью
<1%

Жаир Болсонару
<1%

Эдуарду Лейте
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Открытие рынка: Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader pricing for second place in Brazil’s October 2026 first-round presidential vote because recent national polls show him consolidating the right-wing vote behind his father’s endorsement while trailing incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by only a few points. May 2026 surveys from Quaest and Ideia place Lula near 39 percent and Flávio near 33 percent, with Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos each below 6 percent in a fragmented field. Lula’s modest first-round advantage stems from his base and economic messaging, yet the absence of other major right-wing challengers keeps Flávio positioned to finish second absent late consolidation or a major shift in voter turnout among centrist or conservative blocs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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