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Политика·Глобальные выборы

Победитель выборов губернатора Параны

icon for Победитель выборов губернатора Параны
Политика·Глобальные выборы

Победитель выборов губернатора Параны

Серхио Моро 84%

Александр Кури 3.5%

Энио Верри 3.0%

Рафаэл Грекка 2.8%

Polymarket

$41,363 Объем

Серхио Моро 84%

Александр Кури 3.5%

Энио Верри 3.0%

Рафаэл Грекка 2.8%

Polymarket

$41,363 Объем

Серхио Моро

$32,335 Объем

84%

Александр Кури

$452 Объем

3%

Энио Верри

$309 Объем

3%

Рафаэл Грекка

$352 Объем

3%

Луис Франса

$272 Объем

1%

Бету Рича

$371 Объем

1%

Гуто Силва

$647 Объем

1%

Рекуиан Фильо

$6,627 Объем

<1%

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sergio Moro (PL) holds a commanding position in the 2026 Paraná gubernatorial race, reflected in trader pricing that assigns him an 84% implied probability of victory. Multiple recent polls, including Quaest in late July and Paraná Pesquisas in June, show him leading first-round voting intentions at 39–42%, with his nearest challengers—Requião Filho (PDT), Rafael Greca (MDB), and Alexandre Curi—trailing by 20 points or more. Moro’s formal nomination by the PL and consistent polling stability across scenarios have reinforced this consensus, while lower-priced names such as Enio Verri and Luiz França remain marginal in surveys. The October election timeline leaves room for further shifts in alliances or turnout dynamics.

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$41,363
Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sergio Moro (PL) holds a commanding position in the 2026 Paraná gubernatorial race, reflected in trader pricing that assigns him an 84% implied probability of victory. Multiple recent polls, including Quaest in late July and Paraná Pesquisas in June, show him leading first-round voting intentions at 39–42%, with his nearest challengers—Requião Filho (PDT), Rafael Greca (MDB), and Alexandre Curi—trailing by 20 points or more. Moro’s formal nomination by the PL and consistent polling stability across scenarios have reinforced this consensus, while lower-priced names such as Enio Verri and Luiz França remain marginal in surveys. The October election timeline leaves room for further shifts in alliances or turnout dynamics.

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$41,363
Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Тарсисиу де Фрейтас выборы губернатора Сан-Паулу в 2026 году?

Выиграет ли Тарсисиу де Фрейтас выборы губернатора Сан-Паулу в 2026 году?

94%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Лукас Рибейро выборы губернатора Параибы?

Выиграет ли Лукас Рибейро выборы губернатора Параибы?

74%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Жерониму Родригес выборы губернатора Баии в 2026 году?

Выиграет ли Жерониму Родригес выборы губернатора Баии в 2026 году?

57%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов губернатора Параны» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Серхио Моро» с 84%, за ним следует «Александр Кури» с 3%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 84¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 84%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Победитель выборов губернатора Параны» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $41.4K с момента запуска рынка Jun 9, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов губернатора Параны», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов губернатора Параны» — «Серхио Моро» с 84%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 84%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Александр Кури» с 3%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов губернатора Параны» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.