Łukasz Gibała leads trader consensus for the September 27, 2026 Kraków mayoral by-election following the May 2026 recall referendum that removed incumbent Aleksander Miszalski. Gibała’s independent Kraków for Residents committee and narrow 2024 runoff performance against Miszalski provide established local name recognition and a base beyond national party structures. Recent polls show him ahead in a fragmented first-round field, with other candidates including Monika Piątkowska and smaller-party contenders trailing significantly. The recall’s high support for removal and the absence of a strong unified alternative have reinforced Gibała’s position as the frontrunner in market pricing ahead of candidate registration deadlines and the vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЛукаш Гибала 68%
Гражина Зофия Свят 16.0%
Моника Пентковска 14%
Дарья Госек-Попиолек 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
27 сент. 2026 г.
Лукаш Гибала
68%
Гражина Зофия Свят
10%
Моника Пентковска
14%
Дарья Госек-Попиолек
6%
Рафаł Комаревич
6%
Ян Хоффман
5%
Лукаш Вантух
5%
Славомир Петржик
4%
Рафаł Соник
4%
Мариан Банащ
3%
Марианна Шрайбер
3%
Михал Древницкий
9%
Александра Овца
9%
Бартош Боченчак
1%
Павел Шлиз
1%
Марта Ратушиньска
1%
Михал Климек
1%
Лукаш Гибала 68%
Гражина Зофия Свят 16.0%
Моника Пентковска 14%
Дарья Госек-Попиолек 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
27 сент. 2026 г.
Лукаш Гибала
$6,039 Объем
68%
Гражина Зофия Свят
$247 Объем
10%
Моника Пентковска
$142 Объем
14%
Дарья Госек-Попиолек
$91 Объем
6%
Рафаł Комаревич
$198 Объем
6%
Ян Хоффман
$133 Объем
5%
Лукаш Вантух
$176 Объем
5%
Славомир Петржик
$171 Объем
4%
Рафаł Соник
$217 Объем
4%
Мариан Банащ
$367 Объем
3%
Марианна Шрайбер
$234 Объем
3%
Михал Древницкий
$76 Объем
9%
Александра Овца
$174 Объем
9%
Бартош Боченчак
$172 Объем
1%
Павел Шлиз
$171 Объем
1%
Марта Ратушиньска
$174 Объем
1%
Михал Климек
$160 Объем
1%
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała leads trader consensus for the September 27, 2026 Kraków mayoral by-election following the May 2026 recall referendum that removed incumbent Aleksander Miszalski. Gibała’s independent Kraków for Residents committee and narrow 2024 runoff performance against Miszalski provide established local name recognition and a base beyond national party structures. Recent polls show him ahead in a fragmented first-round field, with other candidates including Monika Piątkowska and smaller-party contenders trailing significantly. The recall’s high support for removal and the absence of a strong unified alternative have reinforced Gibała’s position as the frontrunner in market pricing ahead of candidate registration deadlines and the vote.
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET
Объем
$8,941Дата окончания
27 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała leads trader consensus for the September 27, 2026 Kraków mayoral by-election following the May 2026 recall referendum that removed incumbent Aleksander Miszalski. Gibała’s independent Kraków for Residents committee and narrow 2024 runoff performance against Miszalski provide established local name recognition and a base beyond national party structures. Recent polls show him ahead in a fragmented first-round field, with other candidates including Monika Piątkowska and smaller-party contenders trailing significantly. The recall’s high support for removal and the absence of a strong unified alternative have reinforced Gibała’s position as the frontrunner in market pricing ahead of candidate registration deadlines and the vote.
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Объем
$8,941Дата окончания
27 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Łukasz Gibała leads trader consensus for the September 27, 2026 Kraków mayoral by-election following the May 2026 recall referendum that removed incumbent Aleksander Miszalski. Gibała’s independent Kraków for Residents committee and narrow 2024 runoff performance against Miszalski provide established local name recognition and a base beyond national party structures. Recent polls show him ahead in a fragmented first-round field, with other candidates including Monika Piątkowska and smaller-party contenders trailing significantly. The recall’s high support for removal and the absence of a strong unified alternative have reinforced Gibała’s position as the frontrunner in market pricing ahead of candidate registration deadlines and the vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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