Katharina Pötter’s commanding position in the Osnabrück mayoral market reflects her 42.2% first-round result on 13 September as the CDU incumbent, advancing her to the 27 September runoff against Volker Bajus of the Greens, who received 22.3%. Traders price her at 91.5% amid standard runoff dynamics in which the leading candidate consolidates support from eliminated parties, including the SPD’s 17.1% and smaller shares for the Left, AfD, and FDP. Pötter’s five-year record, emphasis on cross-party governance, and campaign highlighting economic strength and city projects underpin the implied probability. Bajus’s 4.7% pricing aligns with his narrower base and the historical pattern of incumbents prevailing in German local runoffs. Late developments such as turnout shifts or unexpected endorsements remain the main variables that could narrow the gap before voting concludes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКатарина Пёттер 91.5%
Фолькер Байус 4.5%
Роберт Альферинк 1.0%
Оливер Хасскамп <1%
$83,959 Объем
$83,959 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
Катарина Пёттер
92%
Фолькер Байус
5%
Роберт Альферинк
1%
Оливер Хасскамп
1%
Томас Гросс
<1%
Торстен Вассерманн
<1%
Катарина Пёттер 91.5%
Фолькер Байус 4.5%
Роберт Альферинк 1.0%
Оливер Хасскамп <1%
$83,959 Объем
$83,959 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
Катарина Пёттер
$63,557 Объем
92%
Фолькер Байус
$1,676 Объем
5%
Роберт Альферинк
$15,808 Объем
1%
Оливер Хасскамп
$1,730 Объем
1%
Томас Гросс
$385 Объем
<1%
Торстен Вассерманн
$803 Объем
<1%
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.Katharina Pötter’s commanding position in the Osnabrück mayoral market reflects her 42.2% first-round result on 13 September as the CDU incumbent, advancing her to the 27 September runoff against Volker Bajus of the Greens, who received 22.3%. Traders price her at 91.5% amid standard runoff dynamics in which the leading candidate consolidates support from eliminated parties, including the SPD’s 17.1% and smaller shares for the Left, AfD, and FDP. Pötter’s five-year record, emphasis on cross-party governance, and campaign highlighting economic strength and city projects underpin the implied probability. Bajus’s 4.7% pricing aligns with his narrower base and the historical pattern of incumbents prevailing in German local runoffs. Late developments such as turnout shifts or unexpected endorsements remain the main variables that could narrow the gap before voting concludes.
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Открытие рынка: Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Объем
$83,959Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.Katharina Pötter’s commanding position in the Osnabrück mayoral market reflects her 42.2% first-round result on 13 September as the CDU incumbent, advancing her to the 27 September runoff against Volker Bajus of the Greens, who received 22.3%. Traders price her at 91.5% amid standard runoff dynamics in which the leading candidate consolidates support from eliminated parties, including the SPD’s 17.1% and smaller shares for the Left, AfD, and FDP. Pötter’s five-year record, emphasis on cross-party governance, and campaign highlighting economic strength and city projects underpin the implied probability. Bajus’s 4.7% pricing aligns with his narrower base and the historical pattern of incumbents prevailing in German local runoffs. Late developments such as turnout shifts or unexpected endorsements remain the main variables that could narrow the gap before voting concludes.
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Объем
$83,959Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Katharina Pötter’s commanding position in the Osnabrück mayoral market reflects her 42.2% first-round result on 13 September as the CDU incumbent, advancing her to the 27 September runoff against Volker Bajus of the Greens, who received 22.3%. Traders price her at 91.5% amid standard runoff dynamics in which the leading candidate consolidates support from eliminated parties, including the SPD’s 17.1% and smaller shares for the Left, AfD, and FDP. Pötter’s five-year record, emphasis on cross-party governance, and campaign highlighting economic strength and city projects underpin the implied probability. Bajus’s 4.7% pricing aligns with his narrower base and the historical pattern of incumbents prevailing in German local runoffs. Late developments such as turnout shifts or unexpected endorsements remain the main variables that could narrow the gap before voting concludes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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