Katharina Pötter, the CDU incumbent since 2021, advanced to the September 27 runoff as the clear leader after securing 42.2% in the September 13 first round, well ahead of Volker Bajus of the Greens at 22.3% and other candidates including the SPD contender. Traders price her victory probability above 90% due to her established record on local priorities such as economic development and city projects, combined with typical runoff advantages for frontrunners in German municipal contests where fragmented opposition often consolidates behind the top finisher. The market reflects this consensus while leaving limited room for shifts from high turnout mobilization or unforeseen late developments in the final days before the vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКатарина Пёттер 91.5%
Фолькер Байус 4.7%
Оливер Хасскамп 1.2%
Роберт Альферинк 1.0%
$83,949 Объем
$83,949 Объем

Катарина Пёттер
92%

Фолькер Байус
5%

Оливер Хасскамп
1%

Роберт Альферинк
1%

Томас Гросс
<1%

Торстен Вассерманн
<1%
Катарина Пёттер 91.5%
Фолькер Байус 4.7%
Оливер Хасскамп 1.2%
Роберт Альферинк 1.0%
$83,949 Объем
$83,949 Объем

Катарина Пёттер
92%

Фолькер Байус
5%

Оливер Хасскамп
1%

Роберт Альферинк
1%

Томас Гросс
<1%

Торстен Вассерманн
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Открытие рынка: Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Katharina Pötter, the CDU incumbent since 2021, advanced to the September 27 runoff as the clear leader after securing 42.2% in the September 13 first round, well ahead of Volker Bajus of the Greens at 22.3% and other candidates including the SPD contender. Traders price her victory probability above 90% due to her established record on local priorities such as economic development and city projects, combined with typical runoff advantages for frontrunners in German municipal contests where fragmented opposition often consolidates behind the top finisher. The market reflects this consensus while leaving limited room for shifts from high turnout mobilization or unforeseen late developments in the final days before the vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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