Ulf Prange holds the strongest position ahead of the September 27 runoff for Oldenburg mayor, reflecting his 33.2 percent first-round finish on September 13 that topped Jascha Rohr's 30.5 percent. Prange, the SPD nominee and long-serving local and state legislator, benefits from unified party support and a broad base in a city where the incumbent SPD mayor is stepping down. Rohr, running as a nonpartisan candidate backed jointly by the Greens and CDU, advanced as the clear second but trails in current trader pricing. The remaining candidates, including Heike Boldt and several independents, fell well short of advancing and carry negligible implied probabilities. High turnout of 63.5 percent in the initial round and the requirement for an absolute majority in the first vote shaped the runoff matchup, with no other contenders positioned to alter the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоУльф Пранге 82%
Яша Рор 15%
Себастиан Фрёлих <1%
Хайке Болдт <1%
$21,666 Объем
$21,666 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
Ульф Пранге
78%
Яша Рор
15%
Себастиан Фрёлих
<1%
Хайке Болдт
<1%
Хольгер Мартин Вилькенс
<1%
Якуп Частур
<1%
Бьянка Кюсснер
<1%
Михаэль Штилле
<1%
Ральф Бутцин
<1%
Ульф Пранге 82%
Яша Рор 15%
Себастиан Фрёлих <1%
Хайке Болдт <1%
$21,666 Объем
$21,666 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
Ульф Пранге
$8,757 Объем
78%
Яша Рор
$6,392 Объем
15%
Себастиан Фрёлих
$971 Объем
<1%
Хайке Болдт
$881 Объем
<1%
Хольгер Мартин Вилькенс
$712 Объем
<1%
Якуп Частур
$517 Объем
<1%
Бьянка Кюсснер
$1,083 Объем
<1%
Михаэль Штилле
$1,134 Объем
<1%
Ральф Бутцин
$1,219 Объем
<1%
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.Ulf Prange holds the strongest position ahead of the September 27 runoff for Oldenburg mayor, reflecting his 33.2 percent first-round finish on September 13 that topped Jascha Rohr's 30.5 percent. Prange, the SPD nominee and long-serving local and state legislator, benefits from unified party support and a broad base in a city where the incumbent SPD mayor is stepping down. Rohr, running as a nonpartisan candidate backed jointly by the Greens and CDU, advanced as the clear second but trails in current trader pricing. The remaining candidates, including Heike Boldt and several independents, fell well short of advancing and carry negligible implied probabilities. High turnout of 63.5 percent in the initial round and the requirement for an absolute majority in the first vote shaped the runoff matchup, with no other contenders positioned to alter the outcome.
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Открытие рынка: Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ET
Объем
$21,666Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.Ulf Prange holds the strongest position ahead of the September 27 runoff for Oldenburg mayor, reflecting his 33.2 percent first-round finish on September 13 that topped Jascha Rohr's 30.5 percent. Prange, the SPD nominee and long-serving local and state legislator, benefits from unified party support and a broad base in a city where the incumbent SPD mayor is stepping down. Rohr, running as a nonpartisan candidate backed jointly by the Greens and CDU, advanced as the clear second but trails in current trader pricing. The remaining candidates, including Heike Boldt and several independents, fell well short of advancing and carry negligible implied probabilities. High turnout of 63.5 percent in the initial round and the requirement for an absolute majority in the first vote shaped the runoff matchup, with no other contenders positioned to alter the outcome.
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Объем
$21,666Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Ulf Prange holds the strongest position ahead of the September 27 runoff for Oldenburg mayor, reflecting his 33.2 percent first-round finish on September 13 that topped Jascha Rohr's 30.5 percent. Prange, the SPD nominee and long-serving local and state legislator, benefits from unified party support and a broad base in a city where the incumbent SPD mayor is stepping down. Rohr, running as a nonpartisan candidate backed jointly by the Greens and CDU, advanced as the clear second but trails in current trader pricing. The remaining candidates, including Heike Boldt and several independents, fell well short of advancing and carry negligible implied probabilities. High turnout of 63.5 percent in the initial round and the requirement for an absolute majority in the first vote shaped the runoff matchup, with no other contenders positioned to alter the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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