Recent polling for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election shows a fragmented race, with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Greens clustered between roughly 16% and 22% in surveys from Civey, INSA, and Infratest dimap. The CDU’s support has hovered near 19-20% after lead candidate Kai Wegner stepped aside in July and Stefan Evers took over, preventing any sustained rebound from the party’s 28.2% result in the 2023 repeat election. This volatility, combined with first-time voting by 16- and 17-year-olds and the risk that no bloc secures a clear majority, keeps projected CDU seat totals tightly bunched across the mid-20s to upper-30s ranges. Trader prices reflect the narrow gaps between plausible outcomes under different turnout and coalition scenarios rather than any decisive shift in underlying party strength.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоBerlin State Elections: CDU # of seats?
Berlin State Elections: CDU # of seats?
35-39 37%
45+ 17%
<25 11%
40-44 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
<25
32%
25-29
37%
30-34
36%
35-39
37%
40-44
20%
45+
17%
35-39 37%
45+ 17%
<25 11%
40-44 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
<25
$269 Объем
32%
25-29
$118 Объем
37%
30-34
$46 Объем
36%
35-39
$132 Объем
37%
40-44
$20 Объем
20%
45+
$46 Объем
17%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election shows a fragmented race, with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Greens clustered between roughly 16% and 22% in surveys from Civey, INSA, and Infratest dimap. The CDU’s support has hovered near 19-20% after lead candidate Kai Wegner stepped aside in July and Stefan Evers took over, preventing any sustained rebound from the party’s 28.2% result in the 2023 repeat election. This volatility, combined with first-time voting by 16- and 17-year-olds and the risk that no bloc secures a clear majority, keeps projected CDU seat totals tightly bunched across the mid-20s to upper-30s ranges. Trader prices reflect the narrow gaps between plausible outcomes under different turnout and coalition scenarios rather than any decisive shift in underlying party strength.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ET
Объем
$632Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election shows a fragmented race, with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Greens clustered between roughly 16% and 22% in surveys from Civey, INSA, and Infratest dimap. The CDU’s support has hovered near 19-20% after lead candidate Kai Wegner stepped aside in July and Stefan Evers took over, preventing any sustained rebound from the party’s 28.2% result in the 2023 repeat election. This volatility, combined with first-time voting by 16- and 17-year-olds and the risk that no bloc secures a clear majority, keeps projected CDU seat totals tightly bunched across the mid-20s to upper-30s ranges. Trader prices reflect the narrow gaps between plausible outcomes under different turnout and coalition scenarios rather than any decisive shift in underlying party strength.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Объем
$632Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election shows a fragmented race, with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Greens clustered between roughly 16% and 22% in surveys from Civey, INSA, and Infratest dimap. The CDU’s support has hovered near 19-20% after lead candidate Kai Wegner stepped aside in July and Stefan Evers took over, preventing any sustained rebound from the party’s 28.2% result in the 2023 repeat election. This volatility, combined with first-time voting by 16- and 17-year-olds and the risk that no bloc secures a clear majority, keeps projected CDU seat totals tightly bunched across the mid-20s to upper-30s ranges. Trader prices reflect the narrow gaps between plausible outcomes under different turnout and coalition scenarios rather than any decisive shift in underlying party strength.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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