Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20, 2026 Abgeordnetenhaus election show Die Linke at 18–22 percent, placing the party at or near the top alongside the CDU amid a fragmented field that includes AfD, Greens, and SPD. This vote share projects to roughly 30 seats under standard proportional allocation for the 130-seat chamber, consistent with trader consensus favoring the 30–34 seat band. Linke support has remained steady through summer surveys, supported by emphasis on housing affordability, rent regulation, and social spending priorities that resonate locally. Limited late-campaign movement or new coalition signals has kept probabilities anchored to these polling trends, with higher seat ranges priced lower due to the tight multi-party competition.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено30-34 44%
40+ 28%
35-39 20%
25-29 6.6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
<20
3%
20-24
4%
25-29
7%
30-34
44%
35-39
20%
40+
28%
30-34 44%
40+ 28%
35-39 20%
25-29 6.6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
<20
$256 Объем
3%
20-24
$818 Объем
4%
25-29
$132 Объем
7%
30-34
$1,452 Объем
44%
35-39
$1,295 Объем
20%
40+
$1,851 Объем
28%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20, 2026 Abgeordnetenhaus election show Die Linke at 18–22 percent, placing the party at or near the top alongside the CDU amid a fragmented field that includes AfD, Greens, and SPD. This vote share projects to roughly 30 seats under standard proportional allocation for the 130-seat chamber, consistent with trader consensus favoring the 30–34 seat band. Linke support has remained steady through summer surveys, supported by emphasis on housing affordability, rent regulation, and social spending priorities that resonate locally. Limited late-campaign movement or new coalition signals has kept probabilities anchored to these polling trends, with higher seat ranges priced lower due to the tight multi-party competition.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Объем
$5,804Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20, 2026 Abgeordnetenhaus election show Die Linke at 18–22 percent, placing the party at or near the top alongside the CDU amid a fragmented field that includes AfD, Greens, and SPD. This vote share projects to roughly 30 seats under standard proportional allocation for the 130-seat chamber, consistent with trader consensus favoring the 30–34 seat band. Linke support has remained steady through summer surveys, supported by emphasis on housing affordability, rent regulation, and social spending priorities that resonate locally. Limited late-campaign movement or new coalition signals has kept probabilities anchored to these polling trends, with higher seat ranges priced lower due to the tight multi-party competition.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Объем
$5,804Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20, 2026 Abgeordnetenhaus election show Die Linke at 18–22 percent, placing the party at or near the top alongside the CDU amid a fragmented field that includes AfD, Greens, and SPD. This vote share projects to roughly 30 seats under standard proportional allocation for the 130-seat chamber, consistent with trader consensus favoring the 30–34 seat band. Linke support has remained steady through summer surveys, supported by emphasis on housing affordability, rent regulation, and social spending priorities that resonate locally. Limited late-campaign movement or new coalition signals has kept probabilities anchored to these polling trends, with higher seat ranges priced lower due to the tight multi-party competition.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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