Yu Shu-chen secured the KMT nomination in March 2026 after an internal party poll, positioning her as the official candidate in a county where pan-blue voters have long dominated magistrate races and the DPP has fielded no nominee. This party backing, combined with her profile as Ji'an Township head and emphasis on infrastructure and welfare priorities, has driven trader consensus toward her as the frontrunner. Other pan-blue figures including council speaker Chang Chun, Wei Chia-hsien, and Yeh Yao-hui have pursued independent or rival bids, fragmenting support in a race historically decided within the blue camp; recent polls show Yu leading but with the field remaining competitive ahead of November registration deadlines. No major late developments have altered the structural edge from unified KMT resources and local organizational strength.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЮй Шу-чэнь 79%
Вэй Чиа-сянь 18%
Чан Чунь 4.5%
Ло Пэй-чинь <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2027 г.
Юй Шу-чэнь
79%
Вэй Чиа-сянь
18%
Чан Чунь
4%
Ло Пэй-чинь
<1%
Йе Яо-хуэй
<1%
Юй Шу-чэнь 79%
Вэй Чиа-сянь 18%
Чан Чунь 4.5%
Ло Пэй-чинь <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2027 г.
Юй Шу-чэнь
$2,566 Объем
79%
Вэй Чиа-сянь
$1,220 Объем
18%
Чан Чунь
$780 Объем
4%
Ло Пэй-чинь
$430 Объем
<1%
Йе Яо-хуэй
$754 Объем
<1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Yu Shu-chen secured the KMT nomination in March 2026 after an internal party poll, positioning her as the official candidate in a county where pan-blue voters have long dominated magistrate races and the DPP has fielded no nominee. This party backing, combined with her profile as Ji'an Township head and emphasis on infrastructure and welfare priorities, has driven trader consensus toward her as the frontrunner. Other pan-blue figures including council speaker Chang Chun, Wei Chia-hsien, and Yeh Yao-hui have pursued independent or rival bids, fragmenting support in a race historically decided within the blue camp; recent polls show Yu leading but with the field remaining competitive ahead of November registration deadlines. No major late developments have altered the structural edge from unified KMT resources and local organizational strength.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
Объем
$5,750Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Yu Shu-chen secured the KMT nomination in March 2026 after an internal party poll, positioning her as the official candidate in a county where pan-blue voters have long dominated magistrate races and the DPP has fielded no nominee. This party backing, combined with her profile as Ji'an Township head and emphasis on infrastructure and welfare priorities, has driven trader consensus toward her as the frontrunner. Other pan-blue figures including council speaker Chang Chun, Wei Chia-hsien, and Yeh Yao-hui have pursued independent or rival bids, fragmenting support in a race historically decided within the blue camp; recent polls show Yu leading but with the field remaining competitive ahead of November registration deadlines. No major late developments have altered the structural edge from unified KMT resources and local organizational strength.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Объем
$5,750Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Yu Shu-chen secured the KMT nomination in March 2026 after an internal party poll, positioning her as the official candidate in a county where pan-blue voters have long dominated magistrate races and the DPP has fielded no nominee. This party backing, combined with her profile as Ji'an Township head and emphasis on infrastructure and welfare priorities, has driven trader consensus toward her as the frontrunner. Other pan-blue figures including council speaker Chang Chun, Wei Chia-hsien, and Yeh Yao-hui have pursued independent or rival bids, fragmenting support in a race historically decided within the blue camp; recent polls show Yu leading but with the field remaining competitive ahead of November registration deadlines. No major late developments have altered the structural edge from unified KMT resources and local organizational strength.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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