KPRF maintains overwhelming trader consensus for second place behind United Russia in the September 18–20 State Duma elections due to its established position as the primary systemic opposition party, consistent polling support in the 8–12% range across recent FOM and WCIOM surveys, and strong single-member district organization. LDPR and New People trail closely in some August polls but lag in historical second-place finishes and voter base consolidation. Recent developments, including completion of candidate list registrations for the 11 eligible parties, the Supreme Court’s August disqualification of Yabloko from the federal ballot, and United Russia’s pre-election congress emphasizing continuity, have reinforced the managed opposition structure without shifting relative standings among the remaining parties. The mixed electoral system and limited genuine competition further anchor expectations around established parliamentary factions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоRussia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 87%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 6.9%
New People (NL) 6.8%
United Russia (ER) <1%
$408,342 Объем
$408,342 Объем
19 сент. 2026 г.
United Russia (ER)
1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
87%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
7%
New People (NL)
7%
Rodina
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
Яблоко
<1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 87%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 6.9%
New People (NL) 6.8%
United Russia (ER) <1%
$408,342 Объем
$408,342 Объем
19 сент. 2026 г.
United Russia (ER)
$51,880 Объем
1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$107,536 Объем
87%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$16,701 Объем
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$90,326 Объем
7%
New People (NL)
$54,182 Объем
7%
Rodina
$19,680 Объем
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$11,575 Объем
<1%
Яблоко
$56,463 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.KPRF maintains overwhelming trader consensus for second place behind United Russia in the September 18–20 State Duma elections due to its established position as the primary systemic opposition party, consistent polling support in the 8–12% range across recent FOM and WCIOM surveys, and strong single-member district organization. LDPR and New People trail closely in some August polls but lag in historical second-place finishes and voter base consolidation. Recent developments, including completion of candidate list registrations for the 11 eligible parties, the Supreme Court’s August disqualification of Yabloko from the federal ballot, and United Russia’s pre-election congress emphasizing continuity, have reinforced the managed opposition structure without shifting relative standings among the remaining parties. The mixed electoral system and limited genuine competition further anchor expectations around established parliamentary factions.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Открытие рынка: Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Объем
$408,342Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.KPRF maintains overwhelming trader consensus for second place behind United Russia in the September 18–20 State Duma elections due to its established position as the primary systemic opposition party, consistent polling support in the 8–12% range across recent FOM and WCIOM surveys, and strong single-member district organization. LDPR and New People trail closely in some August polls but lag in historical second-place finishes and voter base consolidation. Recent developments, including completion of candidate list registrations for the 11 eligible parties, the Supreme Court’s August disqualification of Yabloko from the federal ballot, and United Russia’s pre-election congress emphasizing continuity, have reinforced the managed opposition structure without shifting relative standings among the remaining parties. The mixed electoral system and limited genuine competition further anchor expectations around established parliamentary factions.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Объем
$408,342Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...KPRF maintains overwhelming trader consensus for second place behind United Russia in the September 18–20 State Duma elections due to its established position as the primary systemic opposition party, consistent polling support in the 8–12% range across recent FOM and WCIOM surveys, and strong single-member district organization. LDPR and New People trail closely in some August polls but lag in historical second-place finishes and voter base consolidation. Recent developments, including completion of candidate list registrations for the 11 eligible parties, the Supreme Court’s August disqualification of Yabloko from the federal ballot, and United Russia’s pre-election congress emphasizing continuity, have reinforced the managed opposition structure without shifting relative standings among the remaining parties. The mixed electoral system and limited genuine competition further anchor expectations around established parliamentary factions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
42%
Выиграет ли «Единая Россия» (ЕР) наибольшее количество мест на следующих выборах в Государственную думу?
98%
Да
Получит ли «Единая Россия» (ЕР) наибольшее количество мест на следующих выборах в Государственную Думу?
72%
Да
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