KPRF's commanding lead in trader consensus for second place stems from its entrenched regional organizations, historical role as the primary systemic opposition, and consistent polling showing 13-15% support ahead of the September 2026 State Duma vote. Recent surveys from VTsIOM and others place the Communists ahead of or tied with LDPR and New People, whose newer structure and limited grassroots reach reduce its odds despite occasional higher ratings in select Kremlin-linked polls. LDPR benefits from nationalist appeal and past results but trails in organizational depth, while United Russia is expected to dominate overall. Pressure on non-systemic parties like Yabloko has further consolidated the contest among established Duma factions, reinforcing KPRF's edge in single-member districts and proportional lists.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоRussia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 83%
New People (NL) 8.9%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 7.8%
United Russia (ER) <1%
$313,851 Объем
$313,851 Объем

United Russia (ER)
1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
83%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
8%

New People (NL)
9%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

Яблоко
1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 83%
New People (NL) 8.9%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 7.8%
United Russia (ER) <1%
$313,851 Объем
$313,851 Объем

United Russia (ER)
1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
83%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
8%

New People (NL)
9%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

Яблоко
1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Открытие рынка: Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...KPRF's commanding lead in trader consensus for second place stems from its entrenched regional organizations, historical role as the primary systemic opposition, and consistent polling showing 13-15% support ahead of the September 2026 State Duma vote. Recent surveys from VTsIOM and others place the Communists ahead of or tied with LDPR and New People, whose newer structure and limited grassroots reach reduce its odds despite occasional higher ratings in select Kremlin-linked polls. LDPR benefits from nationalist appeal and past results but trails in organizational depth, while United Russia is expected to dominate overall. Pressure on non-systemic parties like Yabloko has further consolidated the contest among established Duma factions, reinforcing KPRF's edge in single-member districts and proportional lists.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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