Recent polling shows Zehut, led by Moshe Feiglin and allied with Michael Ben-Ari, hovering at 1.3–1.7% and struggling below the electoral threshold, while Amcha Yisrael, launched independently by Brig. Gen. (res.) Ofer Winter on August 25 with a diverse slate including Yoseph Haddad, secures 4–8 seats and draws from overlapping right-wing voters. Feiglin signaled openness to talks with Winter but later denied any agreement despite a reported recording, and no joint negotiations or combined slate have been confirmed. With candidate lists due by September 8 for the October 27 Knesset election and Prime Minister Netanyahu urging smaller right-wing parties to consolidate, the absence of any merger agreement underpins trader consensus favoring separate lists.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
28% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 сент. 2026 г.
Да
28% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 сент. 2026 г.
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zehut and Amcha Israel contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).Recent polling shows Zehut, led by Moshe Feiglin and allied with Michael Ben-Ari, hovering at 1.3–1.7% and struggling below the electoral threshold, while Amcha Yisrael, launched independently by Brig. Gen. (res.) Ofer Winter on August 25 with a diverse slate including Yoseph Haddad, secures 4–8 seats and draws from overlapping right-wing voters. Feiglin signaled openness to talks with Winter but later denied any agreement despite a reported recording, and no joint negotiations or combined slate have been confirmed. With candidate lists due by September 8 for the October 27 Knesset election and Prime Minister Netanyahu urging smaller right-wing parties to consolidate, the absence of any merger agreement underpins trader consensus favoring separate lists.
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zehut and Amcha Israel contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zehut and Amcha Israel contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
7 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zehut and Amcha Israel contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).Recent polling shows Zehut, led by Moshe Feiglin and allied with Michael Ben-Ari, hovering at 1.3–1.7% and struggling below the electoral threshold, while Amcha Yisrael, launched independently by Brig. Gen. (res.) Ofer Winter on August 25 with a diverse slate including Yoseph Haddad, secures 4–8 seats and draws from overlapping right-wing voters. Feiglin signaled openness to talks with Winter but later denied any agreement despite a reported recording, and no joint negotiations or combined slate have been confirmed. With candidate lists due by September 8 for the October 27 Knesset election and Prime Minister Netanyahu urging smaller right-wing parties to consolidate, the absence of any merger agreement underpins trader consensus favoring separate lists.
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zehut and Amcha Israel contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zehut and Amcha Israel contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Объем
$0Дата окончания
7 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Recent polling shows Zehut, led by Moshe Feiglin and allied with Michael Ben-Ari, hovering at 1.3–1.7% and struggling below the electoral threshold, while Amcha Yisrael, launched independently by Brig. Gen. (res.) Ofer Winter on August 25 with a diverse slate including Yoseph Haddad, secures 4–8 seats and draws from overlapping right-wing voters. Feiglin signaled openness to talks with Winter but later denied any agreement despite a reported recording, and no joint negotiations or combined slate have been confirmed. With candidate lists due by September 8 for the October 27 Knesset election and Prime Minister Netanyahu urging smaller right-wing parties to consolidate, the absence of any merger agreement underpins trader consensus favoring separate lists.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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