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Политика·Ближний Восток

Израильские войска отступают за реку Литани к...?

icon for Израильские войска отступают за реку Литани к...?
Политика·Ближний Восток

Израильские войска отступают за реку Литани к...?

$12,344 Объем

16 июн. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$12,344 Объем

Polymarket

15 июня

$501 Объем

3%

30 июня

$11,843 Объем

13%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli forces have advanced north of the Litani River in late May 2026, capturing Beaufort Ridge and positions in Wadi al-Saluki and near Zawtar al-Sharqiyah during expanded ground operations against Hezbollah. Prime Minister Netanyahu confirmed the crossings and directed further expansion of security zones, while Defense Minister Katz described the moves as establishing longer-term control. US-mediated talks produced limited ceasefire renewals and pilot zones contingent on Hezbollah's withdrawal from areas south of the Litani, but Hezbollah rejected key terms demanding simultaneous Israeli pullback. These developments, occurring amid the broader 2026 conflict, sustain trader consensus against near-term full withdrawal by mid-June dates, with resolution tied to verified Israeli redeployment south of the river.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Объем
$12,344
Открытие рынка
Jun 7, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli forces have advanced north of the Litani River in late May 2026, capturing Beaufort Ridge and positions in Wadi al-Saluki and near Zawtar al-Sharqiyah during expanded ground operations against Hezbollah. Prime Minister Netanyahu confirmed the crossings and directed further expansion of security zones, while Defense Minister Katz described the moves as establishing longer-term control. US-mediated talks produced limited ceasefire renewals and pilot zones contingent on Hezbollah's withdrawal from areas south of the Litani, but Hezbollah rejected key terms demanding simultaneous Israeli pullback. These developments, occurring amid the broader 2026 conflict, sustain trader consensus against near-term full withdrawal by mid-June dates, with resolution tied to verified Israeli redeployment south of the river.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Объем
$12,344
Открытие рынка
Jun 7, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.

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«Израильские войска отступают за реку Литани к...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «30 июня» с 13%, за ним следует «15 июня» с 3%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 13¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 13%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Израильские войска отступают за реку Литани к...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $12.3K с момента запуска рынка Jun 8, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Израильские войска отступают за реку Литани к...?», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Израильские войска отступают за реку Литани к...?» — «30 июня» с 13%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 13%. Следующий ближайший исход — «15 июня» с 3%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Израильские войска отступают за реку Литани к...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.