President Donald Trump initiated U.S. military strikes on Iran on February 28, 2026, without seeking a congressional declaration of war, framing the operations as targeted actions against nuclear and missile threats under existing executive authority. A ceasefire brokered in early April has held with periodic extensions, shifting focus to Pakistan-mediated talks that have stalled over nuclear limits and Strait of Hormuz access. Congress has repeatedly defeated efforts to invoke the War Powers Resolution, while the administration maintains that active hostilities have terminated. These dynamics keep the probability of a formal declaration by year-end low, as traders weigh constitutional barriers, ongoing diplomacy, and the administration’s preference for executive-led measures over legislative authorization.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБудут ли США официально объявлять войну Ирану...?
Будут ли США официально объявлять войну Ирану...?
$7,522,002 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
31 декабря
8%
$7,522,002 Объем
31 декабря
$549,369 Объем
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump initiated U.S. military strikes on Iran on February 28, 2026, without seeking a congressional declaration of war, framing the operations as targeted actions against nuclear and missile threats under existing executive authority. A ceasefire brokered in early April has held with periodic extensions, shifting focus to Pakistan-mediated talks that have stalled over nuclear limits and Strait of Hormuz access. Congress has repeatedly defeated efforts to invoke the War Powers Resolution, while the administration maintains that active hostilities have terminated. These dynamics keep the probability of a formal declaration by year-end low, as traders weigh constitutional barriers, ongoing diplomacy, and the administration’s preference for executive-led measures over legislative authorization.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Объем
$7,522,002Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump initiated U.S. military strikes on Iran on February 28, 2026, without seeking a congressional declaration of war, framing the operations as targeted actions against nuclear and missile threats under existing executive authority. A ceasefire brokered in early April has held with periodic extensions, shifting focus to Pakistan-mediated talks that have stalled over nuclear limits and Strait of Hormuz access. Congress has repeatedly defeated efforts to invoke the War Powers Resolution, while the administration maintains that active hostilities have terminated. These dynamics keep the probability of a formal declaration by year-end low, as traders weigh constitutional barriers, ongoing diplomacy, and the administration’s preference for executive-led measures over legislative authorization.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$7,522,002Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump initiated U.S. military strikes on Iran on February 28, 2026, without seeking a congressional declaration of war, framing the operations as targeted actions against nuclear and missile threats under existing executive authority. A ceasefire brokered in early April has held with periodic extensions, shifting focus to Pakistan-mediated talks that have stalled over nuclear limits and Strait of Hormuz access. Congress has repeatedly defeated efforts to invoke the War Powers Resolution, while the administration maintains that active hostilities have terminated. These dynamics keep the probability of a formal declaration by year-end low, as traders weigh constitutional barriers, ongoing diplomacy, and the administration’s preference for executive-led measures over legislative authorization.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы