Recent polling averages place Likud at 20–23 seats ahead of the October 27 election, with Yashar (led by Gadi Eisenkot) frequently matching or slightly ahead and both major blocs falling short of the 61-seat majority needed to govern. Persistent deadlock stems from fragmented opposition lists, threshold dynamics for smaller parties such as Amcha Yisrael and the Reservists, and limited movement among undecided voters six weeks out. Netanyahu’s coalition partners (including Shas, UTJ, Otzma Yehudit, and Religious Zionism) add stability but also cap expansion, while competition from Bennett’s Together and Eisenkot’s centrist-right appeal keeps Likud’s projected range narrow. Late shifts in turnout, security developments, or surplus-vote agreements could widen the distribution between the 20–24 and 25–29 seat brackets.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено20-24 35%
25-29 28%
<20 17.5%
30-34 15%
$150,157 Объем
$150,157 Объем
26 окт. 2026 г.
<20
18%
20-24
35%
25-29
28%
30-34
15%
35+
5%
20-24 35%
25-29 28%
<20 17.5%
30-34 15%
$150,157 Объем
$150,157 Объем
26 окт. 2026 г.
<20
$52,383 Объем
18%
20-24
$20,507 Объем
35%
25-29
$33,677 Объем
28%
30-34
$32,053 Объем
15%
35+
$11,537 Объем
5%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Likud at 20–23 seats ahead of the October 27 election, with Yashar (led by Gadi Eisenkot) frequently matching or slightly ahead and both major blocs falling short of the 61-seat majority needed to govern. Persistent deadlock stems from fragmented opposition lists, threshold dynamics for smaller parties such as Amcha Yisrael and the Reservists, and limited movement among undecided voters six weeks out. Netanyahu’s coalition partners (including Shas, UTJ, Otzma Yehudit, and Religious Zionism) add stability but also cap expansion, while competition from Bennett’s Together and Eisenkot’s centrist-right appeal keeps Likud’s projected range narrow. Late shifts in turnout, security developments, or surplus-vote agreements could widen the distribution between the 20–24 and 25–29 seat brackets.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Открытие рынка: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Объем
$150,157Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Likud at 20–23 seats ahead of the October 27 election, with Yashar (led by Gadi Eisenkot) frequently matching or slightly ahead and both major blocs falling short of the 61-seat majority needed to govern. Persistent deadlock stems from fragmented opposition lists, threshold dynamics for smaller parties such as Amcha Yisrael and the Reservists, and limited movement among undecided voters six weeks out. Netanyahu’s coalition partners (including Shas, UTJ, Otzma Yehudit, and Religious Zionism) add stability but also cap expansion, while competition from Bennett’s Together and Eisenkot’s centrist-right appeal keeps Likud’s projected range narrow. Late shifts in turnout, security developments, or surplus-vote agreements could widen the distribution between the 20–24 and 25–29 seat brackets.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Объем
$150,157Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Likud at 20–23 seats ahead of the October 27 election, with Yashar (led by Gadi Eisenkot) frequently matching or slightly ahead and both major blocs falling short of the 61-seat majority needed to govern. Persistent deadlock stems from fragmented opposition lists, threshold dynamics for smaller parties such as Amcha Yisrael and the Reservists, and limited movement among undecided voters six weeks out. Netanyahu’s coalition partners (including Shas, UTJ, Otzma Yehudit, and Religious Zionism) add stability but also cap expansion, while competition from Bennett’s Together and Eisenkot’s centrist-right appeal keeps Likud’s projected range narrow. Late shifts in turnout, security developments, or surplus-vote agreements could widen the distribution between the 20–24 and 25–29 seat brackets.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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