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Elections·Colorado Primaries

CO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory

icon for CO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
Elections·Colorado Primaries

CO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory

Kiros 10–15% 41%

Kiros 20%+ 40%

Kiros 5–10% 39%

Kiros <5% 37%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Kiros 10–15% 41%

Kiros 20%+ 40%

Kiros 5–10% 39%

Kiros <5% 37%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Kiros 20%+

$58 Объем

40%

Kiros 15–20%

$45 Объем

31%

Kiros 10–15%

$43 Объем

41%

Kiros 5–10%

$49 Объем

39%

Kiros <5%

$87 Объем

37%

DeGette <5%

$86 Объем

22%

DeGette 5%+

$86 Объем

17%

Other

$20 Объем

20%

The Colorado Democratic primary elections are scheduled for June 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the C0-01 Democratic primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Colorado, such as official statewide results published by the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The Democratic primary for Colorado’s 1st Congressional District pits 15-term incumbent Diana DeGette against progressive challenger Melat Kiros and third candidate Wanda James on June 30. Recent assembly results gave Kiros a strong 67-33 endorsement edge, while a late Data for Progress poll showed her leading DeGette 41-36 among likely primary voters. These developments, combined with Kiros’s Bernie Sanders endorsement and focus on healthcare, housing, and foreign policy contrasts, have narrowed what was once viewed as a comfortable incumbent advantage and produced a fragmented field. The distribution of market probabilities across narrow Kiros and DeGette margin bands, alongside elevated “Other” pricing, reflects trader assessment that late voter turnout, undecided shares, and any James vote split could produce separation or keep the outcome within a few points.

The Colorado Democratic primary elections are scheduled for June 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the C0-01 Democratic primary election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Colorado, such as official statewide results published by the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Объем
$474
Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 11:16 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Colorado Democratic primary elections are scheduled for June 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the C0-01 Democratic primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Colorado, such as official statewide results published by the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The Colorado Democratic primary elections are scheduled for June 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the C0-01 Democratic primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Colorado, such as official statewide results published by the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The Democratic primary for Colorado’s 1st Congressional District pits 15-term incumbent Diana DeGette against progressive challenger Melat Kiros and third candidate Wanda James on June 30. Recent assembly results gave Kiros a strong 67-33 endorsement edge, while a late Data for Progress poll showed her leading DeGette 41-36 among likely primary voters. These developments, combined with Kiros’s Bernie Sanders endorsement and focus on healthcare, housing, and foreign policy contrasts, have narrowed what was once viewed as a comfortable incumbent advantage and produced a fragmented field. The distribution of market probabilities across narrow Kiros and DeGette margin bands, alongside elevated “Other” pricing, reflects trader assessment that late voter turnout, undecided shares, and any James vote split could produce separation or keep the outcome within a few points.

The Colorado Democratic primary elections are scheduled for June 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the C0-01 Democratic primary election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Colorado, such as official statewide results published by the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Объем
$474
Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 11:16 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Colorado Democratic primary elections are scheduled for June 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the C0-01 Democratic primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Colorado, such as official statewide results published by the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«CO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Kiros 10–15%» с 41%, за ним следует «Kiros 20%+» с 40%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 41¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 41%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«CO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jun 30, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «CO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «CO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory» — «Kiros 10–15%» с 41%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 41%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Kiros 20%+» с 40%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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