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icon for Сколько мест получит «Единая Россия» на следующих выборах в законодательные органы РФ?
Политика·Мировые выборы

Сколько мест получит «Единая Россия» на следующих выборах в законодательные органы РФ?

icon for Сколько мест получит «Единая Россия» на следующих выборах в законодательные органы РФ?
Политика·Мировые выборы

Сколько мест получит «Единая Россия» на следующих выборах в законодательные органы РФ?

340–354 28%

310–324 24.3%

355+ 20%

295–309 17.9%

Polymarket

$24,534 Объем

340–354 28%

310–324 24.3%

355+ 20%

295–309 17.9%

Polymarket

$24,534 Объем

<280

$6,278 Объем

8%

280–294

$2,828 Объем

7%

295–309

$1,601 Объем

18%

310–324

$1,426 Объем

24%

325–339

$1,963 Объем

17%

340–354

$1,499 Объем

28%

355+

$8,939 Объем

20%

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election with structural advantages from administrative mobilization and regional election gains averaging 14-17 percentage points above 2021 benchmarks. Polling from VCIOM, FOM, and Levada shows the party holding 33-52% support, well above the 5% threshold and ahead of systemic opposition parties such as LDPR, CPRF, and New People. These trends support trader positioning around 310-354 seats, with the tight distribution between leading ranges reflecting uncertainty over exact seat conversion under proportional representation and single-mandate districts. Kremlin preparations, including veteran placements on candidate lists, reinforce expectations of a retained supermajority without major recent disruptions to shift probabilities.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Объем
$24,534
Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election with structural advantages from administrative mobilization and regional election gains averaging 14-17 percentage points above 2021 benchmarks. Polling from VCIOM, FOM, and Levada shows the party holding 33-52% support, well above the 5% threshold and ahead of systemic opposition parties such as LDPR, CPRF, and New People. These trends support trader positioning around 310-354 seats, with the tight distribution between leading ranges reflecting uncertainty over exact seat conversion under proportional representation and single-mandate districts. Kremlin preparations, including veteran placements on candidate lists, reinforce expectations of a retained supermajority without major recent disruptions to shift probabilities.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Объем
$24,534
Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Сколько мест получит «Единая Россия» на следующих выборах в законодательные органы РФ?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «340–354» с 28%, за ним следует «310–324» с 24%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 28¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 28%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Сколько мест получит «Единая Россия» на следующих выборах в законодательные органы РФ?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $24.5K с момента запуска рынка Jan 7, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Сколько мест получит «Единая Россия» на следующих выборах в законодательные органы РФ?», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Сколько мест получит «Единая Россия» на следующих выборах в законодательные органы РФ?» — «340–354» с 28%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 28%. Следующий ближайший исход — «310–324» с 24%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Сколько мест получит «Единая Россия» на следующих выборах в законодательные органы РФ?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.