United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma elections holding roughly 310 seats under Russia's mixed electoral system of proportional lists and single-member districts. Kremlin-aligned polling shows the party near 45 percent support while independent surveys place it closer to 34 percent, reflecting war-related economic pressures and turnout variables. Preparations such as party primaries and restrictions on non-systemic opposition reinforce expectations of another constitutional majority above 300 seats, yet the fragmented field leaves room for shifts between the 310–339 and 340–354 ranges depending on district outcomes and minor-party thresholds. Traders price the widest uncertainty around the precise balance between list performance and regional results.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСколько мест получит «Единая Россия» на следующих выборах в законодательные органы РФ?
325–339 35%
340–354 23%
310–324 19.1%
355+ 12%
$184,634 Объем
$184,634 Объем
<280
3%
280–294
4%
295–309
7%
310–324
19%
325–339
35%
340–354
23%
355+
12%
325–339 35%
340–354 23%
310–324 19.1%
355+ 12%
$184,634 Объем
$184,634 Объем
<280
3%
280–294
4%
295–309
7%
310–324
19%
325–339
35%
340–354
23%
355+
12%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Открытие рынка: Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma elections holding roughly 310 seats under Russia's mixed electoral system of proportional lists and single-member districts. Kremlin-aligned polling shows the party near 45 percent support while independent surveys place it closer to 34 percent, reflecting war-related economic pressures and turnout variables. Preparations such as party primaries and restrictions on non-systemic opposition reinforce expectations of another constitutional majority above 300 seats, yet the fragmented field leaves room for shifts between the 310–339 and 340–354 ranges depending on district outcomes and minor-party thresholds. Traders price the widest uncertainty around the precise balance between list performance and regional results.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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