United Russia entered the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election as the incumbent with 324 seats from 2021 and faced a tightly managed contest that excluded independent opposition lists such as Yabloko. Early Central Election Commission tallies showed the party at roughly 57–58 percent on the proportional lists while leading in the large majority of single-mandate districts, a structural advantage that historically converts into a substantial seat premium. With turnout near 57 percent and all systemic parties clearing the threshold, official statements on September 21 projected a constitutional majority exceeding 300 seats. These confirmed trends underpin trader pricing that places the 340–354 seat range as the most probable outcome once final mandates are allocated.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМеста «Единой России» на следующих российских выборах в законодательные органы?
340–354 73%
355+ 20.1%
325–339 1.6%
310–324 1.0%
$1,938,810 Объем
$1,938,810 Объем
<280
<1%
280–294
<1%
295–309
<1%
310–324
1%
325–339
2%
340–354
73%
355+
20%
340–354 73%
355+ 20.1%
325–339 1.6%
310–324 1.0%
$1,938,810 Объем
$1,938,810 Объем
<280
<1%
280–294
<1%
295–309
<1%
310–324
1%
325–339
2%
340–354
73%
355+
20%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Открытие рынка: Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia entered the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election as the incumbent with 324 seats from 2021 and faced a tightly managed contest that excluded independent opposition lists such as Yabloko. Early Central Election Commission tallies showed the party at roughly 57–58 percent on the proportional lists while leading in the large majority of single-mandate districts, a structural advantage that historically converts into a substantial seat premium. With turnout near 57 percent and all systemic parties clearing the threshold, official statements on September 21 projected a constitutional majority exceeding 300 seats. These confirmed trends underpin trader pricing that places the 340–354 seat range as the most probable outcome once final mandates are allocated.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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