Recent polling averages place AfD well ahead for first in the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, leaving a fragmented contest for second among SPD, CDU, Linke, and BSW. Incumbent SPD Minister-President Manuela Schwesig’s coalition faces eroding support after federal coalition strains and regional economic pressures, while CDU and Linke hover in the low double digits and BSW draws smaller shares. Trader consensus reflected in current prices shows several parties clustered near 30-50 percent implied probability for second, underscoring how small shifts in turnout among eastern voters or late campaign momentum could reorder the middle of the field before election night.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоХДС 33%
АдГ 33%
Зелёные 33%
СДПГ 33%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
ХДС
33%
АдГ
33%
Зелёные
33%
СДПГ
33%
СвДП
33%
Левая
33%
FW
33%
BSW
33%
ХДС 33%
АдГ 33%
Зелёные 33%
СДПГ 33%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
ХДС
$0 Объем
33%
АдГ
$0 Объем
33%
Зелёные
$0 Объем
33%
СДПГ
$0 Объем
33%
СвДП
$0 Объем
33%
Левая
$0 Объем
33%
FW
$0 Объем
33%
BSW
$0 Объем
33%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling averages place AfD well ahead for first in the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, leaving a fragmented contest for second among SPD, CDU, Linke, and BSW. Incumbent SPD Minister-President Manuela Schwesig’s coalition faces eroding support after federal coalition strains and regional economic pressures, while CDU and Linke hover in the low double digits and BSW draws smaller shares. Trader consensus reflected in current prices shows several parties clustered near 30-50 percent implied probability for second, underscoring how small shifts in turnout among eastern voters or late campaign momentum could reorder the middle of the field before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling averages place AfD well ahead for first in the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, leaving a fragmented contest for second among SPD, CDU, Linke, and BSW. Incumbent SPD Minister-President Manuela Schwesig’s coalition faces eroding support after federal coalition strains and regional economic pressures, while CDU and Linke hover in the low double digits and BSW draws smaller shares. Trader consensus reflected in current prices shows several parties clustered near 30-50 percent implied probability for second, underscoring how small shifts in turnout among eastern voters or late campaign momentum could reorder the middle of the field before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Объем
$0Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place AfD well ahead for first in the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, leaving a fragmented contest for second among SPD, CDU, Linke, and BSW. Incumbent SPD Minister-President Manuela Schwesig’s coalition faces eroding support after federal coalition strains and regional economic pressures, while CDU and Linke hover in the low double digits and BSW draws smaller shares. Trader consensus reflected in current prices shows several parties clustered near 30-50 percent implied probability for second, underscoring how small shifts in turnout among eastern voters or late campaign momentum could reorder the middle of the field before election night.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Получит ли ХДС третье по количеству место на парламентских выборах 2026 года в Мекленбурге-Передней Померании?
34%
Да
Выиграет ли АдГ большинство мест на парламентских выборах в Мекленбурге-Передней Померании в 2026 году?
86%
Да
Will SPD win fewer than 18 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
34%
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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